@article{MTMT:34396843,
	title = {Comparative Analysis and Assessment of Artic Sea Ice: Predictions from CMIP6 Models Amid Global Climate Change},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/34396843},
	author = {Fan, Z},
	doi = {10.54097/ajst.v8i1.14003},
	journal-iso = {AJST},
	journal = {ACADEMIC JOURNAL OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY},
	volume = {8},
	unique-id = {34396843},
	abstract = {Amid global climate change urgency, accurate model predictions are paramount for informed interventions. However, the disparity among prediction models highlights a pressing research gap requiring a deeper and more comprehensive comparison of the differences and consistency of the different models in climate change prediction. This research undertook a comprehensive analysis of 18 CMIP-6 models, aiming to provide a comprehensive comparison and cohesive prediction of ice mass and ice area from 1960 to 2050. The models consistently forecast a substantial decline in Arctic ice coverage and volume. Without marked reductions in carbon emissions, Arctic glaciers are projected to vanish entirely by the close of the century. Furthermore, the correlation analysis results indicate that there is a significant interdependence between sea ice area and sea ice mass was observed, with Pearson R2 approximately 0.908. Notably, models varied regarding the precise year of the Arctic's complete ice loss, spotlighting the inherent uncertainties of current predictions and the pressing need for mitigation measures. The study illuminates the pressing urgency for a globally coordinated response to carbon emissions and serves as a clarion call for enhanced research into the intricacies of climate change and glacier melting processes to refine future predictions.},
	year = {2023},
	eissn = {2771-3032},
	pages = {94-99}
}

@article{MTMT:34063641,
	title = {Comprehensive representation of tropical-extratropical teleconnections obstructed by tropical Pacific convection biases in CMIP6},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/34063641},
	author = {Feng, X and Ding, Q and Wu, L and Jones, C and Wang, H and Bushuk, M and Topál, Dániel},
	doi = {10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0523.1},
	journal-iso = {J CLIMATE},
	journal = {JOURNAL OF CLIMATE},
	volume = {36},
	unique-id = {34063641},
	issn = {0894-8755},
	abstract = {The central role of tropical sea surface temperature (SST) variability in modulating Northern Hemisphere (NH) extratropical climate has long been known. However, the prevailing pathways of teleconnections in observations and the ability of climate models to replicate these observed linkages remain elusive. Here, we apply maximum covariance analysis between atmospheric circulation and tropical SST to reveal two co-existing tropical-extratropical teleconnections albeit with distinctive spatiotemporal characteristics. The first mode, resembling the Pacific-North American (PNA) pattern, favors a Tropical-Arctic in-phase (warm-Pacific-warm-Arctic) teleconnection in boreal spring and winter. However, the second mode, with a slight seasonal preference of summer, is manifested as an elongated Rossby-wave train emanating from the tropical eastern Pacific that features an out-of-phase relationship (cold-Pacific-warm-Arctic) between tropical central Pacific SSTs and temperature variability over the Arctic (referred to as the PARC mode). While climate models participating in CMIP6 appear to successfully simulate the PNA mode and its temporal characteristics, the majority of models’ skill in reproducing the PARC mode is obstructed to some extent by biases in simulating low-frequency SST and rainfall variability over the tropical eastern Pacific and the climatological mean flow over the North Pacific during boreal summer. Considering the contribution of the PARC mode in shaping low frequency climate variations over the past 42 years from the tropics to the Arctic, improving models’ capability to capture the PARC mode is essential to reduce uncertainties associated with decadal prediction and climate change projection over the NH.},
	year = {2023},
	eissn = {1520-0442},
	pages = {7041-7059}
}

@article{MTMT:34342031,
	title = {Projections of central arctic summer sea surface temperatures in CMIP6},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/34342031},
	author = {Han, JS and Park, HS and Chung, ES},
	doi = {10.1088/1748-9326/ad0c8a},
	journal-iso = {ENVIRON RES LETT},
	journal = {ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS},
	volume = {18},
	unique-id = {34342031},
	issn = {1748-9326},
	abstract = {One of the most dramatic climate responses to future global warming is the near-disappearance of the perennial sea ice cover in the central Arctic Ocean, a phenomenon known as the ice-free summer Arctic. The immediate consequence of an ice-free Arctic would be the surface warming of the central Arctic Ocean, where sea surface temperatures (SSTs) used to be at freezing levels. Through an analysis of climate models participating in the Climate Model Intercomparison Project Phase-6 (CMIP6), this study demonstrates a wide range of responses in the central Arctic SSTs in August–September as a result of the projected ice-free summer Arctic. These responses vary from 0.7 to 8 °C in the shared socioeconomic pathway 2 (SSP2-4.5), referred to as the ‘middle of the road’ scenario, in which socioeconomic and technological trends do not significantly deviate from historical patterns. The extent of the Central Arctic sea surface warming in August–September is found to have a loose correlation with the September sea ice extent, but a stronger connection to the sea ice extent during spring to early summer (May–July), when incoming shortwave radiation is most intense. In certain climate models, the perennial sea ice cover disappears completely in September, causing central Arctic SSTs to rise by 5–8 °C by the end of the 21st century. This leads to a bimodal distribution of annual SSTs. Further analysis reveals a close relationship between mid-summer SSTs in the central Arctic Ocean and preceding winter sea ice thickness. This underscores the significance of winter sea ice thickness in predicting future Arctic surface warming and marine heatwaves.},
	year = {2023},
	eissn = {1748-9326}
}

@mastersthesis{MTMT:34485257,
	title = {The Impacts of Atlantic and Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Variability on South American and Arctic Climate},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/34485257},
	isbn = {9798379491994},
	author = {He, Z},
	publisher = {State University of New York at Albany},
	unique-id = {34485257},
	year = {2023}
}

@article{MTMT:33764088,
	title = {Uncertain role of clouds in shaping summertime atmosphere-sea ice connections in reanalyses and CMIP6 models},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/33764088},
	author = {Luo, R and Ding, Q and Baxter, I and Chen, X and Wu, Z and Bushuk, M and Wang, H},
	doi = {10.1007/s00382-023-06785-9},
	journal-iso = {CLIM DYNAM},
	journal = {CLIMATE DYNAMICS},
	volume = {61},
	unique-id = {33764088},
	issn = {0930-7575},
	abstract = {Downwelling longwave radiation (DLR) driven by the atmospheric and cloud conditions in the troposphere is suggested to be a dominant factor to determine the summertime net surface energy budget over the Arctic Ocean and thus plays a key role to shape the September sea ice. We use reanalyses and the self-organizing map (SOM) method to distinguish CMIP6 model performance in replicating the observed strong atmosphere-DLR connection. We find all models can reasonably simulate the linkage between key atmosphere variables and the clear sky DLR but behave differently in replicating the atmosphere-DLR connection due to cloud forcing. In ERA5 and strongly coupled models, tropospheric high pressure is associated with decreased clouds in the mid- and high-levels and increased clouds near the surface. This out-of-phase structure indicates that DLR cloud forcing is nearly neutral, making the clear sky DLR more important to bridge JJA circulation to late-summer sea ice. In MERRA-2 and weakly coupled models, tropospheric clouds display a vertically homogeneous reduction; the cloud DLR is thus strongly reduced due to the cooling effect, which partially cancels out the clear sky DLR and makes the total DLR less efficient to translate circulation forcing to sea ice. The differences of cloud vertical distribution in CMIP6 appear to be differentiated by circulation related relative humidity. Therefore, a better understanding of the discrepancy of different reanalyses and remote sensing products is critical to comprehensively evaluate simulated interactions among circulation, clouds, sea ice and energy budget at the surface in summer.},
	year = {2023},
	eissn = {1432-0894},
	pages = {1973-1994}
}

@mastersthesis{MTMT:34055934,
	title = {SEDIMENTARY SEA-ICE PROXIES IN THE ARCTIC: SEASONAL PRODUCTION, VERTICAL EXPORT AND TAXONOMIC INSIGHTS},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/34055934},
	author = {Luostarinen, T},
	publisher = {Helsingin yliopisto},
	unique-id = {34055934},
	year = {2023}
}

@article{MTMT:34299847,
	title = {Unraveling the impact of external forcing and internal variability on dust storm frequency reduction in Northwest China},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/34299847},
	author = {Qi, M and Ding, R and Zhang, M and Luo, N and Lin, R and Zhang, Y and Wang, Y},
	doi = {10.1007/s00382-023-06999-x},
	journal-iso = {CLIM DYNAM},
	journal = {CLIMATE DYNAMICS},
	volume = {In press},
	unique-id = {34299847},
	issn = {0930-7575},
	year = {2023},
	eissn = {1432-0894},
	orcid-numbers = {Ding, R/0000-0003-4139-3843}
}

@article{MTMT:34440622,
	title = {Internal Variability Increased Arctic Amplification During 1980–2022},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/34440622},
	author = {Sweeney, AJ. and Fu, Q and Po‐Chedley, S and Wang, H and Wang, M},
	doi = {10.1029/2023GL106060},
	journal-iso = {GEOPHYS RES LETT},
	journal = {GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS},
	volume = {50},
	unique-id = {34440622},
	issn = {0094-8276},
	abstract = {Since 1980, the Arctic surface has warmed four times faster than the global mean. Enhanced Arctic warming relative to the global average warming is referred to as Arctic Amplification (AA). While AA is a robust feature in climate change simulations, models rarely reproduce the observed magnitude of AA, leading to concerns that models may not accurately capture the response of the Arctic to greenhouse gas emissions. Here, we use CMIP6 data to train a machine learning algorithm to quantify the influence of internal variability in surface air temperature trends over both the Arctic and global domains. Application of this machine learning algorithm to observations reveals that internal variability increases the Arctic warming but slows global warming in recent decades, inflating AA since 1980 by 38% relative to the externally forced AA. Accounting for the role of internal variability reconciles the discrepancy between simulated and observed AA.},
	year = {2023},
	eissn = {1944-8007},
	orcid-numbers = {Sweeney, AJ./0000-0002-8795-9745; Fu, Q/0000-0001-5371-8460; Po‐Chedley, S/0000-0002-0390-238X; Wang, H/0000-0002-1994-4402}
}

@article{MTMT:33872756,
	title = {Atmospheric circulation-constrained model sensitivity recalibrates Arctic climate projections},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/33872756},
	author = {Topál, Dániel and Ding, Q},
	doi = {10.1038/s41558-023-01698-1},
	journal-iso = {NAT CLIM CHANGE},
	journal = {NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE},
	volume = {13},
	unique-id = {33872756},
	issn = {1758-678X},
	year = {2023},
	eissn = {1758-6798},
	pages = {710-718}
}

@article{MTMT:33669220,
	title = {Mechanisms and Impacts of Earth System Tipping Elements},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/33669220},
	author = {Wang, S and Foster, A and Lenz, EA. and Kessler, JD. and Stroeve, JC. and Anderson, LO. and Turetsky, M and Betts, R and Zou, S and Liu, W and Boos, WR. and Hausfather, Z},
	doi = {10.1029/2021RG000757},
	journal-iso = {REV GEOPHYS},
	journal = {REVIEWS OF GEOPHYSICS},
	volume = {61},
	unique-id = {33669220},
	issn = {8755-1209},
	year = {2023},
	eissn = {1944-9208},
	orcid-numbers = {Wang, S/0000-0001-9792-4602; Foster, A/0000-0002-7382-0013; Kessler, JD./0000-0003-1097-6800; Stroeve, JC./0000-0001-7316-8320; Anderson, LO./0000-0001-9545-5136; Betts, R/0000-0002-4929-0307; Zou, S/0000-0003-2998-2469; Liu, W/0000-0001-5958-3739; Boos, WR./0000-0001-9076-3551}
}

@mastersthesis{MTMT:34744280,
	title = {Development of High-Resolution Climate Projections over Canada in the 21st Century},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/34744280},
	isbn = {9798380716406},
	author = {Wu, Y},
	publisher = {The University of Regina (Canada)},
	unique-id = {34744280},
	year = {2023}
}

@article{MTMT:32915638,
	title = {An optimal atmospheric circulation mode in the Arctic favoring strong summertime sea ice melting and ice-albedo feedback},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/32915638},
	author = {Baxter, I and Ding, Q},
	doi = {10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0679.1},
	journal-iso = {J CLIMATE},
	journal = {JOURNAL OF CLIMATE},
	volume = {35},
	unique-id = {32915638},
	issn = {0894-8755},
	year = {2022},
	eissn = {1520-0442},
	pages = {3027-3045}
}

@article{MTMT:32980595,
	title = {Nudging observed winds in the Arctic to quantify associated sea ice loss from 1979 to 2020},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/32980595},
	author = {Ding, Q and Schweiger, A and Baxter, I},
	doi = {10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0893.1},
	journal-iso = {J CLIMATE},
	journal = {JOURNAL OF CLIMATE},
	volume = {35},
	unique-id = {32980595},
	issn = {0894-8755},
	year = {2022},
	eissn = {1520-0442},
	pages = {3197-3213}
}

@article{MTMT:33024061,
	title = {Comparison of Climate Model Large Ensembles With Observations in the Arctic Using Simple Neural Networks},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/33024061},
	author = {Labe, ZM. and Barnes, EA.},
	doi = {10.1029/2022EA002348},
	journal-iso = {EARTH SPACE SCI},
	journal = {EARTH AND SPACE SCIENCE},
	volume = {9},
	unique-id = {33024061},
	issn = {2333-5084},
	year = {2022},
	eissn = {2333-5084},
	orcid-numbers = {Labe, ZM./0000-0002-6394-7651}
}

@article{MTMT:32780620,
	title = {Comparison between Large-scale Circulation Anomalies Associated with Interannual Variability and Decadal Change of Summer Arctic Sea Ice},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/32780620},
	author = {Li, X and Lu, R and Liu, J and Wang, S},
	doi = {10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0803.1},
	journal-iso = {J CLIMATE},
	journal = {JOURNAL OF CLIMATE},
	volume = {35},
	unique-id = {32780620},
	issn = {0894-8755},
	year = {2022},
	eissn = {1520-0442},
	pages = {4841-4858}
}

@article{MTMT:32751578,
	title = {Observed winds crucial for September Arctic sea ice loss},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/32751578},
	author = {Roach, LA. and Blanchard‐Wrigglesworth, E.},
	doi = {10.1029/2022GL097884},
	journal-iso = {GEOPHYS RES LETT},
	journal = {GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS},
	volume = {49},
	unique-id = {32751578},
	issn = {0094-8276},
	year = {2022},
	eissn = {1944-8007},
	orcid-numbers = {Roach, LA./0000-0003-4189-3928}
}

@article{MTMT:32698800,
	title = {Quantifying the Contribution of Internal Atmospheric Drivers to Near-term Projection Uncertainty in September Arctic Sea Ice},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/32698800},
	author = {Shen, Z and Duan, A and Li, D and Li, J},
	doi = {10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0579.1},
	journal-iso = {J CLIMATE},
	journal = {JOURNAL OF CLIMATE},
	volume = {35},
	unique-id = {32698800},
	issn = {0894-8755},
	year = {2022},
	eissn = {1520-0442},
	pages = {3427-3443}
}

@article{MTMT:32737793,
	title = {Enhanced jet stream waviness induced by suppressed tropical Pacific convection during boreal summer},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/32737793},
	author = {Sun, X and Ding, Q and Wang, SYS and Topál, Dániel and Li, Q and Castro, C and Teng, H and Luo, R and Ding, Y},
	doi = {10.1038/s41467-022-28911-7},
	journal-iso = {NAT COMMUN},
	journal = {NATURE COMMUNICATIONS},
	volume = {13},
	unique-id = {32737793},
	issn = {2041-1723},
	year = {2022},
	eissn = {2041-1723},
	orcid-numbers = {Ding, Q/0000-0003-3634-0181; Wang, SYS/0000-0003-2009-2275; Teng, H/0000-0001-6839-0672}
}

@article{MTMT:32662279,
	title = {Process Drivers, Inter-Model Spread, and the Path Forward: A Review of Amplified Arctic Warming},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/32662279},
	author = {Taylor, PC. and Boeke, RC. and Boisvert, LN. and Feldl, N and Henry, M and Huang, Y and Langen, PL. and Liu, W and Pithan, F and Sejas, SA. and Tan, I},
	doi = {10.3389/feart.2021.758361},
	journal-iso = {FRONT EARTH SC-SWITZ},
	journal = {FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE},
	volume = {9},
	unique-id = {32662279},
	year = {2022},
	eissn = {2296-6463}
}

@article{MTMT:33232028,
	title = {Discrepancies between observations and climate models of large-scale wind-driven Greenland melt influence sea-level rise projections},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/33232028},
	author = {Topál, Dániel and Ding, Q and Ballinger, TJ. and Hanna, E and Fettweis, X and Li, Z and Pieczka, Ildikó},
	doi = {10.1038/s41467-022-34414-2},
	journal-iso = {NAT COMMUN},
	journal = {NATURE COMMUNICATIONS},
	volume = {13},
	unique-id = {33232028},
	issn = {2041-1723},
	abstract = {While climate models project that Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) melt will continue to accelerate with climate change, models exhibit limitations in capturing observed connections between GrIS melt and changes in high-latitude atmospheric circulation. Here we impose observed Arctic winds in a fully-coupled climate model with fixed anthropogenic forcing to quantify the influence of the rotational component of large-scale atmospheric circulation variability over the Arctic on the temperature field and the surface mass/energy balances through adiabatic processes. We show that recent changes involving mid-to-upper-tropospheric anticyclonic wind anomalies – linked with tropical forcing – explain half of the observed Greenland surface warming and ice loss acceleration since 1990, suggesting a pathway for large-scale winds to potentially enhance sea-level rise by ~0.2 mm/year per decade. We further reveal fingerprints of this observed teleconnection in paleo-reanalyses spanning the past 400 years, which heightens concern about model limitations to capture wind-driven adiabatic processes associated with GrIS melt.},
	year = {2022},
	eissn = {2041-1723},
	orcid-numbers = {Ding, Q/0000-0003-3634-0181; Ballinger, TJ./0000-0002-8722-1927; Fettweis, X/0000-0002-4140-3813; Li, Z/0000-0001-7607-1559; Pieczka, Ildikó/0000-0001-5657-9494}
}

@mastersthesis{MTMT:34485260,
	title = {Tropical Sea Surface Temperature Variability and Its Role on Arctic Atmospheric Circulation and Sea Ice},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/34485260},
	isbn = {9798845429322},
	author = {Wachowicz, LJ},
	publisher = {University of Georgia},
	unique-id = {34485260},
	year = {2022}
}

@article{MTMT:31822935,
	title = {Influences of Summertime Arctic-Dipole Atmospheric Circulation on Sea Ice Concentration Variations in the Pacific Sector of the Arctic During Different Pacific Decadal Oscillation Phases},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/31822935},
	author = {Bi, H and Wang, Y and Liang, Y and Sun, W and Liang, X and Yu, Q and Zhang, Z and Xu, X},
	doi = {10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0843.1},
	journal-iso = {J CLIMATE},
	journal = {JOURNAL OF CLIMATE},
	volume = {34},
	unique-id = {31822935},
	issn = {0894-8755},
	year = {2021},
	eissn = {1520-0442},
	pages = {3003-3019}
}

@article{MTMT:31963945,
	title = {Nonlinear Forced Change and Nonergodicity: The Case of ENSO-Indian Monsoon and Global Precipitation Teleconnections},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/31963945},
	author = {Bódai, Tamás and Drótos, Gábor and Ha, KJ and Lee, JY and Chung, ES},
	doi = {10.3389/feart.2020.599785},
	journal-iso = {FRONT EARTH SC-SWITZ},
	journal = {FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE},
	volume = {8},
	unique-id = {31963945},
	year = {2021},
	eissn = {2296-6463}
}

@article{MTMT:32189023,
	title = {Constraining the date of a seasonally ice‐free Arctic using a simple model},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/32189023},
	author = {Bonan, DB. and Schneider, T and Eisenman, I and Wills, RCJ.},
	doi = {10.1029/2021GL094309},
	journal-iso = {GEOPHYS RES LETT},
	journal = {GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS},
	volume = {48},
	unique-id = {32189023},
	issn = {0094-8276},
	year = {2021},
	eissn = {1944-8007},
	orcid-numbers = {Bonan, DB./0000-0003-3867-6009; Schneider, T/0000-0001-5687-2287; Eisenman, I/0000-0003-0190-2869}
}

@article{MTMT:31846190,
	title = {Partitioning uncertainty in projections of Arctic sea ice},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/31846190},
	author = {Bonan, DB. and Lehner, F and Holland, MM.},
	doi = {10.1088/1748-9326/abe0ec},
	journal-iso = {ENVIRON RES LETT},
	journal = {ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS},
	volume = {16},
	unique-id = {31846190},
	issn = {1748-9326},
	year = {2021},
	eissn = {1748-9326},
	orcid-numbers = {Bonan, DB./0000-0003-3867-6009}
}

@article{MTMT:34686587,
	title = {Internal atmospheric processes contributing to Arctic summer rapid warming and ice melting in recent 20 years},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/34686587},
	author = {Ding, Q},
	doi = {10.13878/j.cnki.dqkxxb.20201113007},
	journal-iso = {TRANSACTI ATMOSPH SCI},
	journal = {TRANSACTIONS OF ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES},
	volume = {44},
	unique-id = {34686587},
	issn = {1674-7097},
	year = {2021},
	pages = {39-49}
}

@article{MTMT:31794954,
	title = {A multidecadal-scale tropically-driven global teleconnection over the past millennium and its recent strengthening},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/31794954},
	author = {Feng, X and Ding, Q and Wu, L and Jones, C and Baxter, I and Tardif, R and Stevenson, S and Emile-Geay, J and Mitchell, J and Carvalho, LMV. and Wang, H and Steig, E},
	doi = {10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0216.1},
	journal-iso = {J CLIMATE},
	journal = {JOURNAL OF CLIMATE},
	volume = {34},
	unique-id = {31794954},
	issn = {0894-8755},
	year = {2021},
	eissn = {1520-0442},
	pages = {2549-2565}
}

@article{MTMT:32300878,
	title = {Benchmarking of Data-Driven Causality Discovery Approaches in the Interactions of Arctic Sea Ice and Atmosphere},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/32300878},
	author = {Huang, Y and Kleindessner, M and Munishkin, A and Varshney, D and Guo, P and Wang, J},
	doi = {10.3389/fdata.2021.642182},
	journal-iso = {FRONT BIG DATA},
	journal = {FRONTIERS IN BIG DATA},
	volume = {4},
	unique-id = {32300878},
	abstract = {The Arctic sea ice has retreated rapidly in the past few decades, which is believed to be driven by various dynamic and thermodynamic processes in the atmosphere. The newly open water resulted from sea ice decline in turn exerts large influence on the atmosphere. Therefore, this study aims to investigate the causality between multiple atmospheric processes and sea ice variations using three distinct data-driven causality approaches that have been proposed recently: Temporal Causality Discovery Framework Non-combinatorial Optimization via Trace Exponential and Augmented lagrangian for Structure learning (NOTEARS) and Directed Acyclic Graph-Graph Neural Networks (DAG-GNN). We apply these three algorithms to 39 years of historical time-series data sets, which include 11 atmospheric variables from ERA-5 reanalysis product and passive microwave satellite retrieved sea ice extent. By comparing the causality graph results of these approaches with what we summarized from the literature, it shows that the static graphs produced by NOTEARS and DAG-GNN are relatively reasonable. The results from NOTEARS indicate that relative humidity and precipitation dominate sea ice changes among all variables, while the results from DAG-GNN suggest that the horizontal and meridional wind are more important for driving sea ice variations. However, both approaches produce some unrealistic cause-effect relationships. Additionally, these three methods cannot well detect the delayed impact of one variable on another in the Arctic. It also turns out that the results are rather sensitive to the choice of hyperparameters of the three methods. As a pioneer study, this work paves the way to disentangle the complex causal relationships in the Earth system, by taking the advantage of cutting-edge Artificial Intelligence technologies.},
	keywords = {Time series; causality discovery; arctic sea ice; temporal causality discovery framework; non-combinatorial optimization via trace exponential and augmented lagrangian for structure learning; directed acyclic graph-graph neural networks; atmosphere-sea ice interactions},
	year = {2021},
	eissn = {2624-909X}
}

@article{MTMT:31908742,
	title = {An inter-comparison of the mass budget of the Arctic sea ice in CMIP6 models},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/31908742},
	author = {Keen, A and Blockley, E and Bailey, DA. and Boldingh Debernard, J and Bushuk, M and Delhaye, S and Docquier, D and Feltham, D and Massonnet, F and O'Farrell, S and Ponsoni, L and Rodriguez, José M. and Schroeder, D and Swart, N and Toyoda, T and Tsujino, H and Vancoppenolle, M and Wyser, K},
	doi = {10.5194/tc-15-951-2021},
	journal-iso = {CRYOSPHERE},
	journal = {CRYOSPHERE},
	volume = {15},
	unique-id = {31908742},
	issn = {1994-0416},
	year = {2021},
	eissn = {1994-0424},
	pages = {951-982},
	orcid-numbers = {Delhaye, S/0000-0002-4115-2954; Docquier, D/0000-0002-5720-4253; Massonnet, F/0000-0002-4697-5781; Ponsoni, L/0000-0002-2218-271X; Schroeder, D/0000-0003-2351-4306; Swart, N/0000-0002-8200-6187; Toyoda, T/0000-0001-7926-5754; Tsujino, H/0000-0003-3336-0275}
}

@article{MTMT:31911824,
	title = {Acceleration of western Arctic sea ice loss linked to the Pacific North American pattern},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/31911824},
	author = {Liu, Z and Risi, C and Codron, F and He, X and Poulsen, CJ. and Wei, Z and Chen, D and Li, S and Bowen, GJ.},
	doi = {10.1038/s41467-021-21830-z},
	journal-iso = {NAT COMMUN},
	journal = {NATURE COMMUNICATIONS},
	volume = {12},
	unique-id = {31911824},
	issn = {2041-1723},
	year = {2021},
	eissn = {2041-1723},
	orcid-numbers = {Liu, Z/0000-0002-2321-1543; Codron, F/0000-0001-7038-6189; Poulsen, CJ./0000-0001-5104-4271; Wei, Z/0000-0002-6287-8527; Chen, D/0000-0002-0848-4973}
}

@article{MTMT:31794480,
	title = {Summertime atmosphere–sea ice coupling in the Arctic simulated by CMIP5/6 models: Importance of large-scale circulation},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/31794480},
	author = {Luo, R and Ding, Q and Wu, Z and Baxter, I and Bushuk, M and Huang, Y and Dong, X},
	doi = {10.1007/s00382-020-05543-5},
	journal-iso = {CLIM DYNAM},
	journal = {CLIMATE DYNAMICS},
	volume = {56},
	unique-id = {31794480},
	issn = {0930-7575},
	year = {2021},
	eissn = {1432-0894},
	pages = {1467-1485}
}

@article{MTMT:32544720,
	title = {Slow-down in summer warming over Greenland in the past decade linked to central Pacific El Niño},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/32544720},
	author = {Matsumura, S and Yamazaki, K and Suzuki, K},
	doi = {10.1038/s43247-021-00329-x},
	journal-iso = {COMMUN EARTH ENVIRON},
	journal = {COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT},
	volume = {2},
	unique-id = {32544720},
	year = {2021},
	eissn = {2662-4435},
	orcid-numbers = {Matsumura, S/0000-0001-6824-2573; Yamazaki, K/0000-0002-3189-3839}
}

@misc{MTMT:34689211,
	title = {Mechanisms and impacts of climate tipping elements},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/34689211},
	author = {Wang, S and Foster, A and Lenz, AE and Kessle, JD and Stroeve, JC and Anderson, LO and Turetsky, M and Betts, R and Zou, S and Liu, W and Boos, WR and Hausfather, Z},
	doi = {10.1002/essoar.10507834.1},
	unique-id = {34689211},
	year = {2021}
}

@article{MTMT:31392871,
	title = {Robust Arctic warming caused by projected Antarctic sea ice loss},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/31392871},
	author = {England, MR. and Polvani, LM. and Sun, L},
	doi = {10.1088/1748-9326/abaada},
	journal-iso = {ENVIRON RES LETT},
	journal = {ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS},
	volume = {15},
	unique-id = {31392871},
	issn = {1748-9326},
	year = {2020},
	eissn = {1748-9326}
}

@article{MTMT:31652995,
	title = {Detecting forced changes in internal variability using Large Ensembles: On the use of methods based on the "snapshot view"},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/31652995},
	author = {Haszpra, Tímea and Topál, Dániel and Herein, Mátyás},
	journal-iso = {US CLIVAR VARIATIONS},
	journal = {US CLIVAR VARIATIONS},
	volume = {18},
	unique-id = {31652995},
	year = {2020},
	pages = {36-43},
	orcid-numbers = {Haszpra, Tímea/0000-0001-6716-071X; Herein, Mátyás/0000-0003-1903-3761}
}

@article{MTMT:31591653,
	title = {Refining projected multidecadal hydroclimate uncertainty in East-Central Europe using CMIP5 and single-model large ensemble simulations},
	url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/31591653},
	author = {Topál, Dániel and Hatvani, István Gábor and Kern, Zoltán},
	doi = {10.1007/s00704-020-03361-7},
	journal-iso = {THEORET APPL CLIMAT},
	journal = {THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY},
	volume = {142},
	unique-id = {31591653},
	issn = {0177-798X},
	year = {2020},
	eissn = {1434-4483},
	pages = {1147-1167},
	orcid-numbers = {Topál, Dániel/0000-0001-9348-4494; Hatvani, István Gábor/0000-0002-9262-7315; Kern, Zoltán/0000-0003-4900-2587}
}