TY - GEN AU - Makó, Csaba AU - Illéssy, Miklós TI - Automation, Creativity, and the Future of Work in Europe: A Comparison between the Old and New Member States with a Special Focus on Hungary PY - 2021 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/32248659 ID - 32248659 LA - English DB - MTMT ER - TY - JOUR AU - Vicsek, Lilla Mária TI - Artificial intelligence and the future of work - lessons from the sociology of expectations JF - INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF SOCIOLOGY AND SOCIAL POLICY J2 - INT J SOCIOL SOCIAL POLICY VL - 41 PY - 2021 IS - 7-8 SP - 842 EP - 861 PG - 20 SN - 0144-333X DO - 10.1108/IJSSP-05-2020-0174 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/31637768 ID - 31637768 AB - Purpose What is the future of work going to look like? The aim of this paper is to show how the sociology of expectations (SE) - which deals with the power of visions - can make important contributions in terms of thinking about this issue by critically evaluating the dominant expert positions related to the future-of-employment- and artificial intelligence (AI) debate. Design/methodology/approach After providing a literature review regarding SE, an approach based on the latter is applied to interpret the dominant ideal-type expert positions in the future of work debate to illustrate the value of this perspective. Findings Dominant future scripts can be characterized by a focus on the effects of AI technology that give agency to technology and to the future, involve the hype of expectations with polarized frames, and obscure uncertainty. It is argued that these expectations can have significant consequences. They contribute to the closing off of alternative pathways to the future by making some conversations possible, while hindering others. In order to advance understanding, more sophisticated theorizing is needed which goes beyond these positions and which takes uncertainty and the mutual shaping of technology and society into account - including the role expectations play. Research limitations/implications The study asserts that the dominant positions contain problematic assumptions. It makes suggestions for helping move beyond these current framings of the debate theoretically. It also argues that scenario building and backcasting are two tools that could help move forward thinking about the future of work - especially if this is done in a way so as to build strongly on SE. Practical implications The arguments presented herein enhance sense-making in relation to the future-of-work debate, and can contribute to policy development. Originality/value There is a lack of adequate exploration of the role of visions related to AI and their consequences. This paper attempts to address this gap by applying an SE approach and emphasizing the performative force of visions. LA - English DB - MTMT ER - TY - JOUR AU - Makó, Csaba AU - Illéssy, Miklós TI - Automation and Creativity In Work. Which Jobs Are at Risk of Automation? TS - Which Jobs Are at Risk of Automation? JF - INTERSECTIONS: EAST EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF SOCIETY AND POLITICS J2 - INTERSECTIONS (HU) VL - 6 PY - 2020 IS - 2 SP - 112 EP - 129 PG - 18 SN - 2416-089X DO - 10.17356/ieejsp.v6i2.625 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/31619778 ID - 31619778 AB - The fear of job loss due to the labour-saving technological changes is not a new phenomenon, dating back to the 19th century Luddites in Britain. Recently, similar fear has reawakened due to the rapid expansion of the increasingly cheap and capable computers (digitisation). According to the empirical experience of the European Working Condition Surveys (EWCS 2005 and 2015), every second workplace belongs to the category of ‘creative work’, which is less threatened by automation; and every fourth worker carries out ’routine’ tasks, which will be easily replaced by computers. However, important country group differences exist: creative jobs higher than EU-27 average characterise the Nordic, Continental and Anglo-Saxon countries. By contrast, the highest rate of routine tasks prevails in the Mediterranean and Central and Eastern European countries. Among the post-socialist countries Hungary lags behind the European average and the trends of the previous years on the job loss are alarming, meaning concerns of automatization are a valid concern for unskilled workers. LA - English DB - MTMT ER -