TY - JOUR AU - Pongrácz, Rita AU - Bartholy, Judit AU - Miklos, E TI - ANALYSIS OF PROJECTED CLIMATE CHANGE FOR HUNGARY USING ENSEMBLES SIMULATIONS JF - APPLIED ECOLOGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH J2 - APPL ECOL ENV RES VL - 9 PY - 2011 IS - 4 SP - 387 EP - 398 PG - 12 SN - 1589-1623 DO - 10.15666/aeer/0904_387398 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/2084255 ID - 2084255 AB - In order to estimate the future regional climate change for the Carpathian Basin located in Central/Eastern Europe, outputs from several RCMs (from the completed European project ENSEMBLES) are summarized and analyzed using the SRES A1B scenario. Composite maps of the projected annual and seasonal temperature and precipitation changes are generated using RCM simulations (with 25 km spatial resolution) for the reference period 1961-1990, and the target periods 2021-2050, 2071-2100. Overall, the results suggest significant warming in Hungary. Projected seasonal warming is 1-3 degrees C, and 2-6 degrees C for 2021-2050, and 2071-2100, respectively. The largest temperature increase is likely to occur in summer. In case of precipitation, the annual sum is not likely to change significantly in the region. However, the summer precipitation is projected to decrease significantly during the 21st century, autumn and winter precipitation amounts are projected to increase. LA - English DB - MTMT ER - TY - JOUR AU - Pongrácz, Rita AU - Bartholy, Judit AU - Szabó, P AU - Gelybó, Györgyi TI - A comparison of observed trends and simulated changes in extreme climate indices in the Carpathian basin by the end of this century JF - INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GLOBAL WARMING J2 - INT J GLOBAL WARMING VL - 1 PY - 2009 IS - 1-2 SP - 336 EP - 355 PG - 20 SN - 1758-2083 DO - 10.1504/IJGW.2009.027097 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/141246 ID - 141246 N1 - WoS:hiba:000207911200020 2020-09-03 17:00 cím nem egyezik LA - English DB - MTMT ER - TY - JOUR AU - Bartholy, Judit AU - Pongrácz, Rita AU - Gelybó, Györgyi AU - Szabó, P TI - Analysis of expected climate change in the Carpathian basin using the PRUDENCE results. JF - IDŐJÁRÁS / QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE HUNGARIAN METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE J2 - IDŐJÁRÁS VL - 112 PY - 2008 IS - 3-4 SP - 249 EP - 264 PG - 16 SN - 0324-6329 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/141365 ID - 141365 LA - English DB - MTMT ER - TY - JOUR AU - Bartholy, Judit AU - Pongrácz, Rita AU - Gelybó, Györgyi AU - Szabó, P TI - Milyen mértékű változás várható a Kárpát-medence éghajlati szélsőségeiben a XXI. század végére? JF - LÉGKÖR: AZ ORSZÁGOS METEOROLÓGIAI INTÉZET SZAKMAI TÁJÉKOZTATÓJA J2 - LÉGKÖR VL - 53 PY - 2008 IS - 3 SP - 19 EP - 23 PG - 5 SN - 0133-3666 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/1968612 ID - 1968612 LA - Hungarian DB - MTMT ER - TY - JOUR AU - Bartholy, Judit AU - Pongrácz, Rita TI - Néhány extrém éghajlati paraméter globális és a Kárpát-medencére számított tendenciája a XX. században JF - AGRO-21 FÜZETEK J2 - AGRO-21 FÜZETEK VL - 12 PY - 2005 IS - 40 SP - 70 EP - 93 PG - 24 SN - 1218-5329 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/2204724 ID - 2204724 LA - Hungarian DB - MTMT ER -