TY - JOUR AU - Rueda-Cantuche, José M. AU - Révész, Tamás AU - Amores, Antonio F. AU - Velázquez, Agustín AU - Mraz, Marian AU - Ferrari, Emanuele AU - Mainar-Causapé, Alfredo J. AU - Montinari, Letizia AU - Saveyn, Bert TI - Improving the European input–output database for global trade analysis JF - JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC STRUCTURES J2 - JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC STRUCTURES VL - 9 PY - 2020 IS - 1 PG - 16 SN - 2193-2409 DO - 10.1186/s40008-020-00208-2 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/31291062 ID - 31291062 LA - English DB - MTMT ER - TY - BOOK AU - Darvas, Zsolt AU - Marta, DOMÍNGUEZ-JIMÉNEZ AU - Guntram, B. WOLFF TI - From Climate Change to Cyber-attacks: Incipient Financial Stability Risks for the Euro Area T3 - Monetary Dialogue Papers PB - European Parliament, Directorate-General for Internal Policies of the Union CY - Brüsszel PY - 2020 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/31161170 ID - 31161170 LA - English DB - MTMT ER - TY - BOOK AU - Darvas, Zsolt TI - Resisting deglobalisation: the case of Europe T3 - Bruegel Working Paper ; 2020/01. PB - Bruegel CY - Brussels PY - 2020 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/31156544 ID - 31156544 AB - Global trade and finance data indicates that the pre-2008 pace of economic globalisation has stalled or even reversed. The European Union has defied this trend, with trade flows and financial claims continuing to grow after the recovery from the 2008 global economic and financial crisis. Immigration, including intra-EU mobility, has also continued to increase. Our analysis of public opinion in EU countries shows that support for globalisation, free trade and immigration, is on the rise. EU public opinion on these issues does not differ greatly from the rest of the world. Our panel-model estimates for EU countries from 2009 to 2019 find a strong association between the unemployment rate and the prevailing view on whether globalisation is an opportunity for economic growth. A regression for 19 non-EU countries shows the unemployment rate is significantly associated with public support for trade. These findings suggest that cyclical economic factors partially drive views about globalisation. Our analysis suggests younger and better-educated people in the EU view globalisation more positively, as do those in better economic situations, those who feel politically included and those with a positive view of the EU. Increased support for globalisation among EU citizens might also have been boosted by policies to improve social fairness, and by some success in containing asylum-seeker pressure. However, the EU continues to have pressing social problems, concentrated in some member countries with weaker economic outlooks. With global and European economic growth slowing and the risk of a European recession increasing, unemployment tensions could re-emerge, which might reverse recent increases in support for globalisation. LA - English DB - MTMT ER - TY - JOUR AU - Jean, Beuve AU - Darvas, Zsolt AU - Samuel, Delpeuch AU - Philippe, Martin AU - Xavier, Ragot TI - Simple Rules for Better Fiscal Policies in Europe JF - CESIFO DICE REPORT J2 - CESIFO DICE REPORT VL - 17 PY - 2019 IS - 2 SP - 12 EP - 16 PG - 5 SN - 1612-0663 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/31129767 ID - 31129767 LA - English DB - MTMT ER - TY - GEN AU - Révész, Tamás TI - A külkereskedelmi versenyképesség DRC mutatója PY - 2019 PG - 13 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/31039955 ID - 31039955 N1 - A mű a Közgazdaságtudományi Kar fennállásának 50. évfordulójára készülő e-book-hoz készített, az oktatásban is hasznosítható tanulmány LA - Hungarian DB - MTMT ER - TY - GEN AU - Darvas, Zsolt TI - A new look at net balances in the European Union’s next multiannual budget PY - 2019 PG - 33 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/31039228 ID - 31039228 AB - Whenever the European Union’s budget is discussed, much of the political focus is on net balances – whether countries pay in more than they receive – rather than on the broader overall positive effects of EU spending. The largest net contributor countries have sought to limit their contributions, leading to the build-up of an ad-hoc, complex, opaque and regressive system of revenue corrections. To inform debate on the 2021-2027 EU budget, I estimated the impact on net balances of the 2018 European Commission multiannual budget proposal, under three scenarios: elimination of rebates for all of the 2021-2027 new budget period, gradual elimination of rebates and non-elimination of rebates. These estimates were done on the basis of the EU’s ‘operating budgetary balance’ indicator, and on the basis of a new and broader indicator, the ‘net direct balance’. The calculation also takes into account the estimated net contribution of the United Kingdom to the 2021-2027 EU budget based on the draft EU-UK withdrawal agreement. Under the baseline scenario of the Commission’s proposal, those member states that currently benefit from rebates would face between 0.01 percent of GNI and 0.06 percent of GNI increases in their net contributions to the EU budget, measured by the EU’s operating budgetary balance indicator. Meanwhile, central and eastern European member states that received several percent of their GNI as net payments from the EU in 2014-2020 would face significant reductions, though they would still receive net payments of about two percent of their GNI in 2021-2027. The methodology in this paper can be easily applied to estimate the net balance implications of any new MFF proposal. LA - English DB - MTMT ER - TY - GEN AU - Rueda-Cantuche, José AU - Jose, Manuel AU - Révész, Tamás AU - Amores, Antonio AU - Velazquez, Antonio AU - Mraz, Marian AU - Ferrari, Emanuele AU - Mainar, Alfredo AU - Montinari, Letizia AU - Saveyn, Bert ED - Aguiar, Angel ED - Chepeliev, Maxim ED - Corong, Erwin ED - McDougall, Robert ED - van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique TI - Chapter 7.A: 28 EU members (In: The GTAP Data Base: Version 10.) PY - 2019 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/31036109 ID - 31036109 LA - English DB - MTMT ER - TY - CONF AU - Révész, Tamás TI - Further developments in the decomposition of the Eurostat net tax matrices and their transformation to GTAP format T2 - 22nd Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis PY - 2019 PG - 41 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/31032512 ID - 31032512 LA - English DB - MTMT ER - TY - GEN AU - Révész, Tamás TI - Nem-szokványos gazdaságpolitikai intézkedések figyelembevétele a nemzetgazdasági modellezésben PY - 2019 PG - 28 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/31032504 ID - 31032504 LA - Hungarian DB - MTMT ER - TY - GEN AU - Révész, Tamás TI - Ágazati beruházási függvények a számszerűsített általános egyensúlyi modellben. Elmélet és modellszimulációk TS - Elmélet és modellszimulációk PY - 2019 PG - 32 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/31032497 ID - 31032497 LA - Hungarian DB - MTMT ER -