@article{MTMT:34775436, title = {Some insights on the COVID-19 pandemic from Fisher information}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/34775436}, author = {Cabezas, Heriberto and Štefančić, Hrvoje}, doi = {10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e26707}, journal-iso = {HELIYON}, journal = {HELIYON}, volume = {10}, unique-id = {34775436}, year = {2024}, eissn = {2405-8440} } @misc{MTMT:34549092, title = {Supply Chain Design and Optimization for Plastics at the End-of-Life: City-Based Study}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/34549092}, author = {Kumar, Baibhaw and Natalia, Cano-Londoño and Gerardo, Ruiz-Mercado and Cabezas, Heriberto and Deák, Csaba}, unique-id = {34549092}, year = {2023}, orcid-numbers = {Deák, Csaba/0000-0002-2160-7472} } @article{MTMT:34197506, title = {Network Modeling for Post-Entry Management of Invasive Pest Species in the Philippines: The Case of the Colorado Potato Beetle, Leptinotarsa decemlineata (Say, 1824) (Coleoptera: Chrysomelidae)}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/34197506}, author = {Almarinez, B.J.M. and Amalin, D.M. and Aviso, K.B. and Cabezas, Heriberto and Lao, A.R. and Tan, R.R.}, doi = {10.3390/insects14090731}, journal-iso = {INSECTS}, journal = {INSECTS}, volume = {14}, unique-id = {34197506}, abstract = {Crop shifting is considered as an important strategy to secure future food supply in the face of climate change. However, use of this adaptation strategy needs to consider the risk posed by changes in the geographic range of pests that feed on selected crops. Failure to account for this threat can lead to disastrous results. Models can be used to give insights on how best to manage these risks. In this paper, the socioecological process graph technique is used to develop a network model of interactions among crops, invasive pests, and biological control agents. The model is applied to a prospective analysis of the potential entry of the Colorado potato beetle into the Philippines just as efforts are being made to scale up potato cultivation as a food security measure. The modeling scenarios indicate the existence of alternative viable pest control strategies based on the use of biological control agents. Insights drawn from the model can be used as the basis to ecologically engineer agricultural systems that are resistant to pests. © 2023 by the authors.}, keywords = {COLORADO POTATO BEETLE; POTATO; invasive species; Food webs; Ecological engineering; Ecological Network Analysis}, year = {2023}, eissn = {2075-4450} } @article{MTMT:34094867, title = {Optimal Control for Deriving Policies for Global Sustainability}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/34094867}, author = {Diwekar, Urmila and Nisal, Apoorva and Shastri, Yogendra and Cabezas, Heriberto}, doi = {10.1016/B978-0-443-15274-0.50393-0}, journal-iso = {COMPAIDED CHEMI ENG}, journal = {COMPUTER-AIDED CHEMICAL ENGINEERING}, volume = {52}, unique-id = {34094867}, issn = {1570-7946}, year = {2023}, pages = {2471-2476} } @article{MTMT:33719287, title = {Modelling network effects of biological control: the case of the Philippine coconut scale insect outbreak}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/33719287}, author = {Almarinez, Billy Joel M. and Amalin, Divina M. and Aviso, Kathleen B. and Cabezas, Heriberto and Lao, Angelyn R. and Tan, Raymond R.}, doi = {10.1007/s10526-023-10188-4}, journal-iso = {BIOCONTROL}, journal = {BIOCONTROL}, volume = {68}, unique-id = {33719287}, issn = {1386-6141}, year = {2023}, eissn = {1573-8248}, pages = {117-130}, orcid-numbers = {Almarinez, Billy Joel M./0000-0003-2562-9887} } @article{MTMT:33930430, title = {Evaluation of global techno-socio-economic policies for the FEW nexus with an optimal control based approach}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/33930430}, author = {Nisal, Apoorva and Diwekar, Urmila and Hanumante, Neeraj and Shastri, Yogendra and Cabezas, Heriberto and Rico Ramirez, Vicente and Rodríguez-González, Pablo Tenoch}, doi = {10.3389/frsus.2022.948443}, journal-iso = {FRONT SUSTAIN}, journal = {FRONTIERS IN SUSTAINABILITY}, volume = {3}, unique-id = {33930430}, abstract = {Inordinate consumption of natural resources by humans over the past century and unsustainable growth practices have necessitated a need for enforcing global policies to sustain the ecosystem and prevent irreversible changes. This study utilizes the Generalized Global Sustainability model (GGSM), which focuses on sustainability for the Food-Energy-Water (FEW) Nexus. GGSM is a 15-compartment model with components for the food-web, microeconomic framework, energy, industry and water sectors, and humans. GGSM shows that an increased per capita consumption scenario is unsustainable. In this study, an optimal-control theory based approach is devised to address the unsustainable scenario through policy interventions to evaluate sustainability by employing multiple global indicators and controlling them. Six policy options are employed as control variables to provide global policy recommendations to develop the multi-variate optimal control approach. Seven objectives are proposed to limit the human burden on the environment to ascertain sustainability from a lens of ecological, economic, and social wellbeing. This study observes the performance of the policy options toward seven sustainability indicators: Fisher Information, Green Net Product, Ecological Buffer, Carbon dioxide emissions, Nitrous oxide emissions, and Global Water Stress. The optimal control model assesses these multiple objectives by minimizing the variance in the Fisher Information. One significant result from this study is that optimizing for the Fisher Information based objective is adequate to attain sustainability and manage the other objectives under consideration. Thus, forgoing a multi-objective problem framework. The results show that cross-dimensional policy interventions such as increased vegetarianism and increased penalty on industrial discharge are shown to have a positive impact on scale.}, year = {2022}, eissn = {2673-4524} } @article{MTMT:33204707, title = {Enabling technology models with nonlinearities in the synthesis of wastewater treatment networks based on the P-graph framework}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/33204707}, author = {Pimentel, Jean and Aboagye, Emmanuel and Orosz, Ákos and Markót, Mihály Csaba and Cabezas, Heriberto and Friedler, Ferenc and Yenkie, Kirti M.}, doi = {10.1016/j.compchemeng.2022.108034}, journal-iso = {COMPUT CHEM ENG}, journal = {COMPUTERS & CHEMICAL ENGINEERING}, volume = {167}, unique-id = {33204707}, issn = {0098-1354}, abstract = {Designing effective wastewater treatment networks is challenging because of the large number of treatment options available for performing similar tasks. Each treatment option has variability in cost and contaminant removal efficiency. Moreover, their mathematical models are highly nonlinear, thus rendering them computationally intensive. Such systems yield mixed-integer nonlinear programming models which cannot be solved properly with contemporary optimization tools that may result in local optima or may fail to converge. Herein, the P-graph framework is employed, thus generating all potentially feasible process structures, which results in simpler, smaller mathematical models. All potentially feasible process networks are evaluated by nonlinear programming resulting in guaranteed global optimum; furthermore, the ranked list of the n-best networks is also available. With the proposed tool, better facilities can be designed handling complex waste streams with minimal cost and reasonable environmental impact. The novel method is illustrated with two case studies showing its computational effectiveness.}, year = {2022}, eissn = {1873-4375}, orcid-numbers = {Pimentel, Jean/0000-0003-3359-4848; Markót, Mihály Csaba/0000-0002-0747-6242; Yenkie, Kirti M./0000-0002-8044-0369} } @article{MTMT:33118054, title = {Integrated model for food-energy-water (FEW) nexus to study global sustainability: The main generalized global sustainability model (GGSM)}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/33118054}, author = {Nisal, Apoorva and Diwekar, Urmila and Hanumante, Neeraj and Shastri, Yogendra and Cabezas, Heriberto}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0267403}, journal-iso = {PLOS ONE}, journal = {PLOS ONE}, volume = {17}, unique-id = {33118054}, issn = {1932-6203}, abstract = {Over the years, several global models have been proposed to forecast global sustainability, provide a framework for sustainable policy-making, or to study sustainability across the FEW nexus. An integrated model is presented here with components like food-web ecosystem dynamics, microeconomics components, including energy producers and industries, and various socio-techno-economic policy dimensions. The model consists of 15 compartments representing a simplified ecological food-web set in a macroeconomic framework along with a rudimentary legal system. The food-web is modeled by Lotka–Volterra type expressions, whereas the economy is represented by a price-setting model wherein firms and human households attempt to maximize their economic well-being. The model development is done using global-scale data for stocks and flows of food, energy, and water, which were used to parameterize this model. Appropriate proportions for some of the ecological compartments like herbivores and carnivores are used to model those compartments. The modeling of the human compartment was carried out using historical data for the global mortality rate. Historical data were used to parameterize the model. Data for key variables like the human population, GDP growth, greenhouse gases like CO 2 and NO X emissions were used to validate the model. The model was then used to make long-term forecasts and to study global sustainability over an extended time. The purpose of this study was to create a global model which can provide techno-socio-economic policy solutions for global sustainability. Further, scenario analysis was conducted for cases where the human population or human consumption increases rapidly to observe the impact on the sustainability of the planet over the next century. The results indicated that the planet can support increased population if the per capita consumption levels do not rise. However, increased consumption resulted in exhaustion of natural resources and increased the CO 2 emissions by a multiple of 100.}, year = {2022}, eissn = {1932-6203}, orcid-numbers = {Diwekar, Urmila/0000-0002-0933-5865} } @article{MTMT:33062114, title = {Integrated model for Food-Energy-Water (FEW) nexus to study global sustainability: The water compartments and water stress analysis}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/33062114}, author = {Hanumante, Neeraj and Shastri, Yogendra and Nisal, Apoorva and Diwekar, Urmila and Cabezas, Heriberto}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0266554}, journal-iso = {PLOS ONE}, journal = {PLOS ONE}, volume = {17}, unique-id = {33062114}, issn = {1932-6203}, abstract = {Analysis of global sustainability is incomplete without an examination of the FEW nexus. Here, we modify the Generalized Global Sustainability Model (GGSM) to incorporate the global water system and project water stress on the global and regional levels. Five key water-consuming sectors considered here are agricultural, municipal, energy, industry, and livestock. The regions are created based on the continents, namely, Africa, Asia, Europe, North America, Oceania, and South America. The sectoral water use intensities and geographical distribution of the water demand were parameterized using historical data. A more realistic and novel indicator is proposed to assess the water situation: net water stress. It considers the water whose utility can be harvested, within economic and technological considerations, rather than the total renewable water resources. Simulation results indicate that overall global water availability is adequate to support the rising water demand in the next century. However, regional heterogeneity of water availability leads to high water stress in Africa. Africa’s maximum net water stress is 140%, so the water demand is expected to be more than total exploitable water resources. Africa might soon cross the 100% threshold/breakeven in 2022. For a population explosion scenario, the intensity of the water crisis for Africa and Asia is expected to rise further, and the maximum net water stress would reach 149% and 97%, respectively. The water use efficiency improvement for the agricultural sector, which reduces the water demand by 30%, could help to delay this crisis significantly.}, year = {2022}, eissn = {1932-6203}, orcid-numbers = {Diwekar, Urmila/0000-0002-0933-5865} } @article{MTMT:33029432, title = {Integrated Sustainability Assessment: Exergy, Emergy, Life Cycle Assessment}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/33029432}, author = {Cano-Londoño, Natalia and Cabezas, Heriberto and Baracza, Mátyás Krisztián}, doi = {10.3389/frsus.2022.921874}, journal-iso = {FRONT SUSTAIN}, journal = {FRONTIERS IN SUSTAINABILITY}, volume = {3}, unique-id = {33029432}, year = {2022}, eissn = {2673-4524} }