TY - CONF AU - Andor, György AU - Dülk, Marcell ED - Khalid, Hammes ED - Igor, Klopotan ED - Milica, Nestorovic TI - ESTIMATION OF THE VARIANCE OF PROJECT RETURNS THROUGH A CASH FLOW BETA APPROACH T2 - Economic and Social Development C1 - Belgrád PY - 2018 SP - 219 EP - 227 PG - 9 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/3380808 ID - 3380808 LA - English DB - MTMT ER - TY - JOUR AU - Dülk, Marcell TI - The sign of cash flows: A source of error in present value approximations JF - ENGINEERING ECONOMIST J2 - ENG ECONOMIST VL - 61 PY - 2016 IS - 2 SP - 79 EP - 94 PG - 16 SN - 0013-791X DO - 10.1080/0013791X.2016.1149262 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/3070384 ID - 3070384 LA - English DB - MTMT ER - TY - JOUR AU - Andor, György AU - Dülk, Marcell TI - Cost of capital estimation for energy efficiency projects through a cash flow beta approach JF - ENERGY EFFICIENCY J2 - ENERG EFFIC VL - 8 PY - 2015 IS - 2 SP - 365 EP - 384 PG - 20 SN - 1570-646X DO - 10.1007/s12053-014-9298-y UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/2738966 ID - 2738966 AB - This paper presents a methodological framework for project beta estimation according to the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) when relevant stock price data are not available but cash flow data are. The methodology suggests estimating a cash flow beta first, which can then be converted into the traditional stock beta of a project. Estimation of the cash flow beta requires a series of past expectations regarding the project's cash flows. We generate these expectations from time-series models describing the cash flow process. In the case of energy efficiency projects, we argue that it is sufficient to consider only the energy price uncertainty in the cash flows. Analyzing monthly residential retail price data for electricity, natural gas, and heating oil in the USA, we find that the use of price changes, as applied by related studies, is inappropriate for beta estimation and that it may lead to errors in magnitude, incorrect signs, and wider confidence intervals for beta estimates because none of these prices are martingales. After adjusting for this issue, we find very small betas. Moreover, considering their possible range, we conclude that the risk-free rate is generally a good approximation for energy efficiency projects. LA - English DB - MTMT ER - TY - CHAP AU - Dülk, Marcell ED - Bóta, Gábor ED - Ormos, Mihály TI - Cost of capital of energy efficiency projects: The case of electricity T2 - SSEM EuroConference 2014 PB - Budapest University of Technology and Economics CY - Budapest SN - 9789633131145 T3 - SSEM EuroConference PY - 2014 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/2740139 ID - 2740139 LA - English DB - MTMT ER - TY - THES AU - Dülk, Marcell TI - Methodological improvements in financial analyses PY - 2013 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/2944092 ID - 2944092 LA - English DB - MTMT ER - TY - CHAP AU - Andor, György AU - Dülk, Marcell ED - Meyer, Dietmar Klaus ED - Kósi, Kálmán ED - Valkó, László ED - Tóth, Zsuzsanna Eszter ED - Hevér, Boglárka ED - Horváth, György Ádám TI - Közelítő módszerek perióduson belüli pénzáramok diszkontálásához T2 - Tehetséggondozás a BME GTK Gazdálkodás- és Szervezéstudományi Doktori Iskolában PB - Budapesti Műszaki és Gazdaságtudományi Egyetem CY - Budapest SN - 9789633130872 PY - 2013 SP - 1 EP - 11 PG - 11 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/2694502 ID - 2694502 LA - Hungarian DB - MTMT ER - TY - JOUR AU - Andor, György AU - Dülk, Marcell TI - Present value under uncertain asset life: an evaluation of relative error JF - PERIODICA POLYTECHNICA SOCIAL AND MANAGEMENT SCIENCES J2 - PERIOD POLYTECH SOC MANAG SCI VL - 21 PY - 2013 IS - 2 SP - 71 EP - 82 PG - 12 SN - 1416-3837 DO - 10.3311/PPso.7086 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/2692962 ID - 2692962 LA - English DB - MTMT ER - TY - JOUR AU - Andor, György AU - Dülk, Marcell TI - Harmonic mean as an approximation for discounting intraperiod cash flows JF - ENGINEERING ECONOMIST J2 - ENG ECONOMIST VL - 58 PY - 2013 IS - 1 SP - 3 EP - 18 PG - 16 SN - 0013-791X DO - 10.1080/0013791X.2012.742607 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/2688754 ID - 2688754 LA - English DB - MTMT ER - TY - CHAP AU - Andor, György AU - Dülk, Marcell ED - Levendovszky, János ED - Péceli, Gábor TI - Approximations for discounting intraperiod cash flows T2 - Proceedings of the PhD Conferences - organised by the Doctoral Schools of the BME, in the framework of TÁMOP-4.2.2/B-10/1-2010-0009 PB - Budapest University of Technology and Economics CY - Budapest SN - 9789633130735 PY - 2012 SP - 246 EP - 249 PG - 4 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/2686665 ID - 2686665 LA - English DB - MTMT ER - TY - JOUR AU - Dülk, Marcell TI - Cost of capital of energy efficiency projects: The case of space heating and cooling JF - PERIODICA POLYTECHNICA SOCIAL AND MANAGEMENT SCIENCES J2 - PERIOD POLYTECH SOC MANAG SCI VL - 20 PY - 2012 IS - 1 SP - 3 EP - 10 PG - 8 SN - 1416-3837 DO - 10.3311/pp.so.2012-1.01 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/2686389 ID - 2686389 LA - English DB - MTMT ER -