TY - JOUR AU - Dobor, Laura AU - Baldo, Marco AU - Bílek, Lukáš AU - Barka, Ivan AU - Máliš, František AU - Štěpánek, Petr AU - Hlásny, Tomáš TI - The interacting effect of climate change and herbivory can trigger large‐scale transformations of European temperate forests JF - GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY J2 - GLOBAL CHANGE BIOL VL - 30 PY - 2024 IS - 2 SN - 1354-1013 DO - 10.1111/gcb.17194 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/34687712 ID - 34687712 N1 - Faculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences in Prague, Suchdol, Prague 6, Czech Republic National Forest Centre – Forest Research Institute Zvolen, Zvolen, Slovakia Faculty of Forestry, Technical University Zvolen, Zvolen, Slovakia Global Change Research Institute, Czech Academy of Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic Export Date: 28 March 2024 Correspondence Address: Hlásny, T.; Czech University of Life Sciences in Prague, Kamýcká 129, Prague 6 – Suchdol, Czech Republic; email: hlasny@fld.czu.cz AB - In many regions of Europe, large wild herbivores alter forest community composition through their foraging preferences, hinder the forest's natural adaptive responses to climate change, and reduce ecosystem resilience. We investigated a widespread European forest type, a mixed forest dominated by Picea abies , which has recently experienced an unprecedented level of disturbance across the continent. Using the forest landscape model iLand, we investigated the combined effect of climate change and herbivory on forest structure, composition, and carbon and identified conditions leading to ecosystem transitions on a 300‐year timescale. Eight climate change scenarios, driven by Representative Concentration Pathways 4.5 and 8.5, combined with three levels of regeneration browsing, were tested. We found that the persistence of the current level of browsing pressure impedes adaptive changes in community composition and sustains the presence of the vulnerable yet less palatable P. abies . These development trajectories were tortuous, characterized by a high disturbance intensity. On the contrary, reduced herbivory initiated a transformation towards the naturally dominant broadleaved species that was associated with an increased forest carbon and a considerably reduced disturbance. The conditions of RCP4.5 combined with high and moderate browsing levels preserved the forest within its reference range of variability, defining the actual boundaries of resilience. The remaining combinations of browsing and climate change led to ecosystem transitions. Under RCP4.5 with browsing effects excluded, the new equilibrium conditions were achieved within 120 years, whereas the stabilization was delayed by 50–100 years under RCP8.5 with higher browsing intensities. We conclude that forests dominated by P. abies are prone to transitions driven by climate change. However, reducing herbivory can set the forest on a stable and predictable trajectory, whereas sustaining the current browsing levels can lead to heightened disturbance activity, extended transition times, and high variability in the target conditions. LA - English DB - MTMT ER - TY - GEN AU - Kern, Anikó AU - Barcza, Zoltán AU - Dobor, Laura AU - Hollós,, R., AU - Marjanović,, H., AU - Torma, Csaba AU - Kis,, A., AU - Fodor, N TI - A FORESEE éghajlati adatbázis CY - 2022.08.30-09.01. PY - 2022 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/34177994 ID - 34177994 LA - Hungarian DB - MTMT ER - TY - GEN AU - Kern, Anikó AU - Barcza, Zoltán AU - Dobor, Laura TI - Meteorológiai adatok 1951-2100-ra: a FORESEE adatbázis PY - 2022 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/34177976 ID - 34177976 LA - Hungarian DB - MTMT ER - TY - GEN AU - Dobor, Laura AU - Barcza, Zoltán AU - Hlásny, Tomas AU - Fodor, Nándor TI - Improving the Accuracy of Simulated Solar Radiation: Robust Post-Processing Method and Implications for Ecosystem Modeling PY - 2022 PG - 42 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/33214347 ID - 33214347 LA - English DB - MTMT ER - TY - CONF AU - Kern, Anikó AU - Dobor, Laura AU - Hollós, Roland AU - Marjanović, H. AU - Torma, Csaba AU - Kis, Anna AU - Fodor, N. AU - Barcza, Zoltán TI - Climate data for 1951–2100 for scientific, societal and policy purposes in Central Europe: the FORESEE database T2 - Book of abstracts: Natural resources, green technology and sustainable development PY - 2022 SP - 32 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/33107531 ID - 33107531 LA - English DB - MTMT ER - TY - JOUR AU - Borhidi, Attila AU - Dobor, Laura AU - Horváth, Ferenc TI - Magyarország természetes növénytakarója JF - TERMÉSZETBÚVÁR J2 - TERMÉSZETBÚVÁR VL - 77 PY - 2022 IS - 3 SP - 6 EP - 9 PG - 4 SN - 0866-1510 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/32886697 ID - 32886697 LA - Hungarian DB - MTMT ER - TY - JOUR AU - Hidy, Dóra AU - Barcza, Zoltán AU - Hollós, Roland AU - Dobor, Laura AU - Ács, Tamás AU - Zacháry, Dóra AU - Filep, Tibor AU - Pásztor, László AU - Incze, Dóra AU - Dencső, Márton AU - Tóth, Eszter AU - Merganicová, Katarína AU - Thornton, Peter AU - Running, Steven AU - Fodor, Nándor TI - Soil-related developments of the Biome-BGCMuSo v6.2 terrestrial ecosystem model JF - GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT J2 - GEOSCI MODEL DEV VL - 15 PY - 2022 IS - 5 SP - 2157 EP - 2181 PG - 25 SN - 1991-959X DO - 10.5194/gmd-15-2157-2022 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/32730611 ID - 32730611 N1 - Excellence Center, Faculty of Science, Elte Eötvös Loránd University, Martonvásár2462, Hungary MTA-MATE Agroecology Research Group, Department of Plant Physiology and Plant Ecology, Hungarian University for Agriculture and Life Sciences, Gödöllõ2100, Hungary Department of Meteorology, Institute of Geography and Earth Sciences, Elte Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, 1117, Hungary Faculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Prague, 165 21, Czech Republic Centre for Agricultural Research, Agricultural Institute, Martonvásár2462, Hungary Department of Sanitary and Environmental Engineering, Budapest University of Technology and Economics, Budapest, 1111, Hungary Geographical Institute, Research Centre for Astronomy and Earth Sciences, Budapest, 1112, Hungary Institute for Soil Sciences, Centre for Agricultural Research, Budapest, 1022, Hungary Doctoral School of Environmental Sciences, Elte Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, 1117, Hungary Department of Biodiversity of Ecosystems and Landscape, Institute of Landscape Ecology, Slovak Academy of Sciences, Nitra, 949 01, Slovakia Climate Change Science Institute/Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN 37831, United States Numerical Terradynamic Simulation Group, Department of Ecosystem and Conservation Sciences, University of Montana, Missoula, MT 59812, United States Export Date: 19 April 2022 Correspondence Address: Hidy, D.; Excellence Center, Martonvásár, Hungary; email: dori.hidy@gmail.com LA - English DB - MTMT ER - TY - GEN AU - Hollós, Roland AU - Fodor, Nándor AU - Kis, Anna AU - Kristóf, Erzsébet AU - Hidy, Dóra AU - Pokovai, Klára AU - Dobor, Laura AU - Barcza, Zoltán TI - Biome-BGCMuSo felhasználóbarát keretrendszerének alkalmazási lehetőségei a klímaváltozás vonatkozásában. előadás TS - előadás PY - 2021 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/32489720 ID - 32489720 AB - 3.e szekció LA - Hungarian DB - MTMT ER - TY - GEN AU - Hidy, Dóra AU - Fodor, Nándor AU - Hollós, Roland AU - Dobor, Laura AU - Pokovai, Klára AU - Barcza, Zoltán TI - A biogeokémiai modellek szerepe az éghajlatváltozás kutatásában. előadás TS - előadás PY - 2021 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/32489713 ID - 32489713 AB - 3.d szekció LA - Hungarian DB - MTMT ER - TY - JOUR AU - Fodor, Nándor AU - Pásztor, László AU - Tóth, Brigitta AU - Laborczi, Annamária AU - Pokovai, Klára AU - Hidy, Dóra AU - Hollós, Roland AU - Kristóf, Erzsébet AU - Kis, Anna AU - Dobor, Laura AU - Kern, Anikó AU - Grünwald, Thomas AU - Barcza, Zoltán TI - Input database related uncertainty of Biome-BGCMuSo agro-environmental model outputs JF - INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DIGITAL EARTH J2 - INT J DIGIT EARTH VL - 14 PY - 2021 IS - 11 SP - 1582 EP - 1601 PG - 20 SN - 1753-8947 DO - 10.1080/17538947.2021.1953161 UR - https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/32110289 ID - 32110289 N1 - Centre for Agricultural Research, Agricultural Institute, Martonvásár, Hungary Centre for Agricultural Research, Institute for Soil Sciences, Budapest, Hungary Department of Meteorology, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary Faculty of Science - Excellence Center, Eötvös Loránd University, Martonvásár, Hungary Faculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Praha-Suchdol, Czech Republic Department of Geophysics and Space Science, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary Institute of Hydrology and Meteorology, Technische Universität Dresden, Tharandt, Germany Cited By :2 Export Date: 19 April 2022 Correspondence Address: Fodor, N.; Centre for Agricultural Research, Hungary; email: fodor.nandor@atk.hu LA - English DB - MTMT ER -