@article{MTMT:34687712, title = {The interacting effect of climate change and herbivory can trigger large‐scale transformations of European temperate forests}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/34687712}, author = {Dobor, Laura and Baldo, Marco and Bílek, Lukáš and Barka, Ivan and Máliš, František and Štěpánek, Petr and Hlásny, Tomáš}, doi = {10.1111/gcb.17194}, journal-iso = {GLOBAL CHANGE BIOL}, journal = {GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY}, volume = {30}, unique-id = {34687712}, issn = {1354-1013}, abstract = {In many regions of Europe, large wild herbivores alter forest community composition through their foraging preferences, hinder the forest's natural adaptive responses to climate change, and reduce ecosystem resilience. We investigated a widespread European forest type, a mixed forest dominated by Picea abies , which has recently experienced an unprecedented level of disturbance across the continent. Using the forest landscape model iLand, we investigated the combined effect of climate change and herbivory on forest structure, composition, and carbon and identified conditions leading to ecosystem transitions on a 300‐year timescale. Eight climate change scenarios, driven by Representative Concentration Pathways 4.5 and 8.5, combined with three levels of regeneration browsing, were tested. We found that the persistence of the current level of browsing pressure impedes adaptive changes in community composition and sustains the presence of the vulnerable yet less palatable P. abies . These development trajectories were tortuous, characterized by a high disturbance intensity. On the contrary, reduced herbivory initiated a transformation towards the naturally dominant broadleaved species that was associated with an increased forest carbon and a considerably reduced disturbance. The conditions of RCP4.5 combined with high and moderate browsing levels preserved the forest within its reference range of variability, defining the actual boundaries of resilience. The remaining combinations of browsing and climate change led to ecosystem transitions. Under RCP4.5 with browsing effects excluded, the new equilibrium conditions were achieved within 120 years, whereas the stabilization was delayed by 50–100 years under RCP8.5 with higher browsing intensities. We conclude that forests dominated by P. abies are prone to transitions driven by climate change. However, reducing herbivory can set the forest on a stable and predictable trajectory, whereas sustaining the current browsing levels can lead to heightened disturbance activity, extended transition times, and high variability in the target conditions.}, year = {2024}, eissn = {1365-2486}, orcid-numbers = {Dobor, Laura/0000-0001-6712-9827; Baldo, Marco/0000-0002-6689-6933; Bílek, Lukáš/0000-0002-0752-8276; Barka, Ivan/0000-0002-2364-8542; Máliš, František/0000-0003-2760-6988; Štěpánek, Petr/0000-0003-1433-678X; Hlásny, Tomáš/0000-0001-9771-7435} } @misc{MTMT:34177994, title = {A FORESEE éghajlati adatbázis}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/34177994}, author = {Kern, Anikó and Barcza, Zoltán and Dobor, Laura and Hollós,, R., and Marjanović,, H., and Torma, Csaba and Kis,, A., and Fodor, N}, unique-id = {34177994}, year = {2022}, orcid-numbers = {Kern, Anikó/0000-0002-3504-1668; Barcza, Zoltán/0000-0002-1278-0636; Dobor, Laura/0000-0001-6712-9827; Torma, Csaba/0000-0002-4240-0788} } @misc{MTMT:34177976, title = {Meteorológiai adatok 1951-2100-ra: a FORESEE adatbázis}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/34177976}, author = {Kern, Anikó and Barcza, Zoltán and Dobor, Laura}, unique-id = {34177976}, year = {2022}, orcid-numbers = {Kern, Anikó/0000-0002-3504-1668; Barcza, Zoltán/0000-0002-1278-0636; Dobor, Laura/0000-0001-6712-9827} } @misc{MTMT:33214347, title = {Improving the Accuracy of Simulated Solar Radiation: Robust Post-Processing Method and Implications for Ecosystem Modeling}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/33214347}, author = {Dobor, Laura and Barcza, Zoltán and Hlásny, Tomas and Fodor, Nándor}, unique-id = {33214347}, year = {2022}, orcid-numbers = {Dobor, Laura/0000-0001-6712-9827; Barcza, Zoltán/0000-0002-1278-0636} } @CONFERENCE{MTMT:33107531, title = {Climate data for 1951–2100 for scientific, societal and policy purposes in Central Europe: the FORESEE database}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/33107531}, author = {Kern, Anikó and Dobor, Laura and Hollós, Roland and Marjanović, H. and Torma, Csaba and Kis, Anna and Fodor, N. and Barcza, Zoltán}, booktitle = {Book of abstracts: Natural resources, green technology and sustainable development}, unique-id = {33107531}, year = {2022}, pages = {32}, orcid-numbers = {Kern, Anikó/0000-0002-3504-1668; Dobor, Laura/0000-0001-6712-9827; Torma, Csaba/0000-0002-4240-0788; Kis, Anna/0000-0002-3227-1230; Barcza, Zoltán/0000-0002-1278-0636} } @article{MTMT:32886697, title = {Magyarország természetes növénytakarója}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/32886697}, author = {Borhidi, Attila and Dobor, Laura and Horváth, Ferenc}, journal-iso = {TERMÉSZETBÚVÁR}, journal = {TERMÉSZETBÚVÁR}, volume = {77}, unique-id = {32886697}, issn = {0866-1510}, year = {2022}, pages = {6-9}, orcid-numbers = {Dobor, Laura/0000-0001-6712-9827} } @article{MTMT:32730611, title = {Soil-related developments of the Biome-BGCMuSo v6.2 terrestrial ecosystem model}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/32730611}, author = {Hidy, Dóra and Barcza, Zoltán and Hollós, Roland and Dobor, Laura and Ács, Tamás and Zacháry, Dóra and Filep, Tibor and Pásztor, László and Incze, Dóra and Dencső, Márton and Tóth, Eszter and Merganicová, Katarína and Thornton, Peter and Running, Steven and Fodor, Nándor}, doi = {10.5194/gmd-15-2157-2022}, journal-iso = {GEOSCI MODEL DEV}, journal = {GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT}, volume = {15}, unique-id = {32730611}, issn = {1991-959X}, year = {2022}, eissn = {1991-9603}, pages = {2157-2181}, orcid-numbers = {Barcza, Zoltán/0000-0002-1278-0636; Dobor, Laura/0000-0001-6712-9827; Ács, Tamás/0000-0001-6788-5075; Pásztor, László/0000-0002-1605-4412} } @misc{MTMT:32489720, title = {Biome-BGCMuSo felhasználóbarát keretrendszerének alkalmazási lehetőségei a klímaváltozás vonatkozásában. előadás}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/32489720}, author = {Hollós, Roland and Fodor, Nándor and Kis, Anna and Kristóf, Erzsébet and Hidy, Dóra and Pokovai, Klára and Dobor, Laura and Barcza, Zoltán}, unique-id = {32489720}, abstract = {3.e szekció}, year = {2021}, orcid-numbers = {Kis, Anna/0000-0002-3227-1230; Kristóf, Erzsébet/0000-0001-9892-9552; Dobor, Laura/0000-0001-6712-9827; Barcza, Zoltán/0000-0002-1278-0636} } @misc{MTMT:32489713, title = {A biogeokémiai modellek szerepe az éghajlatváltozás kutatásában. előadás}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/32489713}, author = {Hidy, Dóra and Fodor, Nándor and Hollós, Roland and Dobor, Laura and Pokovai, Klára and Barcza, Zoltán}, unique-id = {32489713}, abstract = {3.d szekció}, year = {2021}, orcid-numbers = {Dobor, Laura/0000-0001-6712-9827; Barcza, Zoltán/0000-0002-1278-0636} } @article{MTMT:32110289, title = {Input database related uncertainty of Biome-BGCMuSo agro-environmental model outputs}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/32110289}, author = {Fodor, Nándor and Pásztor, László and Tóth, Brigitta and Laborczi, Annamária and Pokovai, Klára and Hidy, Dóra and Hollós, Roland and Kristóf, Erzsébet and Kis, Anna and Dobor, Laura and Kern, Anikó and Grünwald, Thomas and Barcza, Zoltán}, doi = {10.1080/17538947.2021.1953161}, journal-iso = {INT J DIGIT EARTH}, journal = {INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DIGITAL EARTH}, volume = {14}, unique-id = {32110289}, issn = {1753-8947}, year = {2021}, eissn = {1753-8955}, pages = {1582-1601}, orcid-numbers = {Pásztor, László/0000-0002-1605-4412; Tóth, Brigitta/0000-0003-1485-8908; Laborczi, Annamária/0000-0003-4095-7838; Kristóf, Erzsébet/0000-0001-9892-9552; Kis, Anna/0000-0002-3227-1230; Dobor, Laura/0000-0001-6712-9827; Kern, Anikó/0000-0002-3504-1668; Barcza, Zoltán/0000-0002-1278-0636} }