@article{MTMT:34777544, title = {Converged ensemble simulations of climate: Potential trends in total solar irradiance cannot explain global warming alone}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/34777544}, author = {Drótos, Gábor and Herein, Mátyás and Haszpra, Tímea and Jánosi, Imre Miklós}, doi = {10.3389/feart.2024.1240784}, journal-iso = {FRONT EARTH SC-SWITZ}, journal = {FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE}, volume = {12}, unique-id = {34777544}, year = {2024}, eissn = {2296-6463}, orcid-numbers = {Herein, Mátyás/0000-0003-1903-3761; Haszpra, Tímea/0000-0001-6716-071X; Jánosi, Imre Miklós/0000-0002-3705-5748} } @article{MTMT:34282764, title = {An ensemble based approach for the effect of climate change on the dynamics of extremes}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/34282764}, author = {Herein, Mátyás and Jánosi, Dániel and Tél, Tamás}, doi = {10.3389/feart.2023.1267473}, journal-iso = {FRONT EARTH SC-SWITZ}, journal = {FRONTIERS IN EARTH SCIENCE}, volume = {11}, unique-id = {34282764}, year = {2023}, eissn = {2296-6463}, orcid-numbers = {Herein, Mátyás/0000-0003-1903-3761; Jánosi, Dániel/0000-0002-6138-3610; Tél, Tamás/0000-0003-0983-0804} } @CONFERENCE{MTMT:34265592, title = {Where are the coexisting parallel climates? Large ensemble climate projections from the point of view of chaos theory}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/34265592}, author = {Herein, Mátyás and Tél, Tamás and Haszpra, Tímea}, booktitle = {EMS Annual Meeting Abstracts}, unique-id = {34265592}, year = {2023}, pages = {EMS2023-193}, orcid-numbers = {Herein, Mátyás/0000-0003-1903-3761; Tél, Tamás/0000-0003-0983-0804; Haszpra, Tímea/0000-0001-6716-071X} } @article{MTMT:33917923, title = {Day‐To‐Day Quantification of Changes in Global Lightning Activity Based on Schumann Resonances}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/33917923}, author = {Bozóki, Tamás and Sátori, Gabriella and Williams, E. and Guha, A. and Liu, Y. and Steinbach, Péter and Leal, A. and Herein, Mátyás and Atkinson, M. and Beggan, C. D. and DiGangi, E. and Koloskov, A. and Kulak, A. and LaPierre, J. and Milling, D. K. and Mlynarczyk, J. and Neska, A. and Potapov, A. and Raita, T. and Rawat, R. and Said, R. and Sinha, A. K. and Yampolski, Y.}, doi = {10.1029/2023JD038557}, journal-iso = {J GEOPHYS RES ATMOS}, journal = {JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH: ATMOSPHERES}, volume = {128}, unique-id = {33917923}, issn = {2169-897X}, year = {2023}, eissn = {2169-8996}, orcid-numbers = {Bozóki, Tamás/0000-0002-1672-1510; Liu, Y./0000-0002-8460-5191; Steinbach, Péter/0000-0003-2524-8494; Leal, A./0000-0003-0606-2950; Herein, Mátyás/0000-0003-1903-3761; Beggan, C. D./0000-0002-2298-0578; DiGangi, E./0000-0001-9665-5738; Mlynarczyk, J./0000-0002-0076-759X; Potapov, A./0000-0002-4864-0993; Said, R./0000-0002-8095-4204} } @article{MTMT:33703815, title = {Where are the coexisting parallel climates? Large ensemble climate projections from the point of view of chaos theory}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/33703815}, author = {Herein, Mátyás and Tél, Tamás and Haszpra, Tímea}, doi = {10.1063/5.0136719}, journal-iso = {CHAOS}, journal = {CHAOS}, volume = {33}, unique-id = {33703815}, issn = {1054-1500}, abstract = {We review the recent results of large ensemble climate projections considering them to be the simulations of chaotic systems. The quick spread of an initially localized ensemble in the first weeks after initialization is an appearance of the butterfly effect, illustrating the unpredictability of the dynamics. We show that the growth rate of uncertainty (an analog of the Lyapunov exponent) can be determined right after initialization. The next phase corresponds to a convergence of the no longer localized ensemble to the time-dependent climate attractor and requires a much longer time. After convergence takes place, the ensemble faithfully represents the climate dynamics. Concerning a credible simulation, the observed signal should then wander within the spread of the converged ensemble all the time, i.e., to behave just as any of the ensemble members. As a manifestation of the chaotic-like climate dynamics, one can imagine that beyond the single, observed time-dependent climate, a plethora of parallel climate realizations exists. Converged climate ensembles also define the probability distribution by which the physical quantities of the different climate realizations occur. Large ensemble simulations were shown earlier to be credible in the sense formulated. Here, in addition, an extended credibility condition is given, which requires the ensemble to be a converged ensemble, valid also for low-dimensional models. Interestingly, to the best of our knowledge, no low-order physical or engineering systems subjected to time-dependent forcings are known for which a comparison between simulation and experiment would be available. As illustrative examples, the CESM1-LE climate model and a chaotic pendulum are taken.}, year = {2023}, eissn = {1089-7682}, orcid-numbers = {Herein, Mátyás/0000-0003-1903-3761; Tél, Tamás/0000-0003-0983-0804; Haszpra, Tímea/0000-0001-6716-071X} } @article{MTMT:33761685, title = {A köpenykonvekciótól a felszín alatti vízáramlás numerikus modellezéséig: In memoriam Cserepes László (1952–2002)}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/33761685}, author = {Galsa, Attila and Herein, Mátyás and Szijártó, Márk and Süle, Bálint and Lenkey, László}, journal-iso = {MAGYAR GEOFIZIKA}, journal = {MAGYAR GEOFIZIKA}, volume = {63}, unique-id = {33761685}, issn = {0025-0120}, year = {2022}, eissn = {2677-1497}, pages = {158-169}, orcid-numbers = {Galsa, Attila/0000-0002-7198-4524; Herein, Mátyás/0000-0003-1903-3761; Szijártó, Márk/0000-0001-5408-4092; Lenkey, László/0000-0003-4236-4075} } @CONFERENCE{MTMT:33703355, title = {Légköri szennyeződések terjedésének vizsgálata sokasági éghajlati szimulációkban változó éghajlat esetén}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/33703355}, author = {Haszpra, Tímea and Herein, Mátyás}, booktitle = {48. Meteorológiai Tudományos Napok, az ülések programja}, unique-id = {33703355}, year = {2022}, pages = {14}, orcid-numbers = {Haszpra, Tímea/0000-0001-6716-071X; Herein, Mátyás/0000-0003-1903-3761} } @CONFERENCE{MTMT:33112956, title = {When the Earth goes white: the Snowball Earth attractor}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/33112956}, author = {Herein, Mátyás and Haszpra, Tímea and Kaszás, Bálint}, booktitle = {EMS Annual Meeting Abstracts}, unique-id = {33112956}, abstract = {EMS2022-394}, year = {2022}, pages = {1-1}, orcid-numbers = {Herein, Mátyás/0000-0003-1903-3761; Haszpra, Tímea/0000-0001-6716-071X} } @misc{MTMT:32538706, title = {A sokaság-szemlélet: távkapcsolatok időfüggésének meghatározása változó éghajlat esetén}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/32538706}, author = {Haszpra, Tímea and Topál, Dániel and Herein, Mátyás}, unique-id = {32538706}, year = {2021}, pages = {10}, orcid-numbers = {Haszpra, Tímea/0000-0001-6716-071X; Herein, Mátyás/0000-0003-1903-3761} } @CONFERENCE{MTMT:32286063, title = {The climate impact of the Drake Passage opening from a fluid dynamics point of view: the role of Antarctic glaciation}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/32286063}, author = {Herein, Mátyás and Vincze, Miklós and Bozóki, Tamás and Ion, Dan Borcia and Uwe, Harlander and Horicsányi, Attila and Nyerges, Anita and Constanza, Rodda and Pál, András and Pálfy, József}, booktitle = {EMS Annual Meeting Abstracts}, doi = {10.5194/ems2021-163}, unique-id = {32286063}, year = {2021}, orcid-numbers = {Herein, Mátyás/0000-0003-1903-3761; Bozóki, Tamás/0000-0002-1672-1510; Pálfy, József/0000-0001-9686-1849} }