@article{MTMT:34112873, title = {Advancing and retreating fronts in a changing climate: a percolation model of range shifts}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/34112873}, author = {Oborny, Beáta and Zimmermann, Daniel}, doi = {10.1111/ecog.06645}, journal-iso = {ECOGRAPHY}, journal = {ECOGRAPHY}, volume = {2023}, unique-id = {34112873}, issn = {0906-7590}, abstract = {Climate change causes considerable shifts in the geographic distribution of species worldwide. Most data on range movements, however, derive from relatively short periods, within which it is difficult to distinguish directional shifts from random fluctuations. For detecting a shift, it is indispensable to delineate the range precisely. We propose a new method for the delineation based on percolation theory. We suggest marking the boundary between the connected and fragmented occurrence of the species (the hull). We demonstrate the advantages of this connectivity-based method on simulated examples in which a metapopulation is advancing vs retreating along an environmental gradient with different velocities. The simulations show that the hull is a fractal and has the same dimension (7/4) even when the front is advancing or retreating relatively fast, compared to the generation time. It is particularly robust in the retreating (trailing) edge. Accordingly, we propose marking the range edge at the mean position of the hull, the 'connectivity limit' of the species. Theoretical considerations suggest that the position of the connectivity limit is statistically more reliable than those limits that are delineated according to the outermost occurrences, and the connectivity-based method is broadly applicable to real-life data.}, keywords = {Connectivity; climate change; PERCOLATION; metapopulation; environmental gradient; treeline; Critical transition; species border; range margin; habitat tracking}, year = {2023}, eissn = {1600-0587}, orcid-numbers = {Oborny, Beáta/0000-0003-2997-9921} } @article{MTMT:33926698, title = {Lost in translation? – Caveat to the application of the voter model in ecology and evolutionary biology}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/33926698}, author = {Oborny, Beáta}, doi = {10.1177/00368504231175324}, journal-iso = {SCI PROGRESS}, journal = {SCIENCE PROGRESS}, volume = {106}, unique-id = {33926698}, issn = {0036-8504}, abstract = {The voter model is a paradigmatic model of competition between alternative states within groups. Its properties have been intensively studied in statistical physics. Due to its generality, the model lends itself to various applications in ecology and evolutionary biology. I briefly review these opportunities, but call attention to a frequently occurring misinterpretation: it is often assumed that the agents in the model represent individual organisms. I argue that this assumption only holds under very specific conditions, and thus the meaning of the agents is often ‘lost in translation’ between physics and biology. Instead of an individual-based view, I propose that an alternative, site-based approach is more plausible. I suggest that the biological applicability of the model could further be broadened by considering the transitional states of the agents (sites) explicitly and letting the network evolve according to the agents’ states.}, year = {2023}, eissn = {2047-7163}, orcid-numbers = {Oborny, Beáta/0000-0003-2997-9921} } @article{MTMT:33744077, title = {Self-inhibition and optimal ramet mortality in clonal plants}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/33744077}, author = {Oborny, Beáta and Marcsó, Soma}, doi = {10.1016/j.flora.2023.152275}, journal-iso = {FLORA}, journal = {FLORA}, volume = {302}, unique-id = {33744077}, issn = {0367-2530}, year = {2023}, eissn = {1618-0585}, orcid-numbers = {Oborny, Beáta/0000-0003-2997-9921} } @article{MTMT:32508569, title = {Conservation biology research priorities for 2050. A Central-Eastern European perspective}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/32508569}, author = {Csákvári, Edina and Fabók, Veronika and Bartha, Sándor and Barta, Zoltán and Batáry, Péter and Borics, Gábor and Botta-Dukát, Zoltán and Erős, Tibor and Gáspár, Judit and Hideg, Éva and Kovács-Hostyánszki, Anikó and Sramkó, Gábor and Standovár, Tibor and Lengyel, Szabolcs and Liker, András and Magura, Tibor and Márton, András and Molnár, V. Attila and Molnár, Zsolt and Oborny, Beáta and Ódor, Péter and Tóthmérész, Béla and Török, Katalin and Török, Péter and Valkó, Orsolya and Szép, Tibor and Vörös, Judit and Báldi, András}, doi = {10.1016/j.biocon.2021.109396}, journal-iso = {BIOL CONSERV}, journal = {BIOLOGICAL CONSERVATION}, volume = {264}, unique-id = {32508569}, issn = {0006-3207}, year = {2021}, eissn = {1873-2917}, orcid-numbers = {Bartha, Sándor/0000-0001-6331-7521; Barta, Zoltán/0000-0002-7121-9865; Batáry, Péter/0000-0002-1017-6996; Botta-Dukát, Zoltán/0000-0002-9544-3474; Gáspár, Judit/0000-0003-1908-1616; Sramkó, Gábor/0000-0001-8588-6362; Standovár, Tibor/0000-0002-4686-3456; Lengyel, Szabolcs/0000-0002-7049-0100; Liker, András/0000-0001-8545-4869; Oborny, Beáta/0000-0003-2997-9921; Ódor, Péter/0000-0003-1729-8897; Valkó, Orsolya/0000-0001-7919-6293; Vörös, Judit/0000-0001-9707-1443; Báldi, András/0000-0001-6063-3721} } @article{MTMT:32154859, title = {Agent-based neutral competition in two-community networks}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/32154859}, author = {Ishida, Kota and Oborny, Beáta and Gastner, Michael T.}, doi = {10.1103/PhysRevE.104.024308}, journal-iso = {PHYSICAL REVIEW E}, journal = {PHYSICAL REVIEW E: COVERING STATISTICAL NONLINEAR BIOLOGICAL AND SOFT MATTER PHYSICS (2016-)}, volume = {104}, unique-id = {32154859}, issn = {2470-0045}, abstract = {Competition between alternative states is an essential process in social and biological networks. Neutral competition can be represented by an unbiased random drift process in which the states of vertices (e.g., opinions, genotypes, or species) in a network are updated by repeatedly selecting two connected vertices. One of these vertices copies the state of the selected neighbor. Such updates are repeated until all vertices are in the same "consensus" state. There is no unique rule for selecting the vertex pair to be updated. Real-world processes comprise three limiting factors that can influence the selected edge and the direction of spread: (1) the rate at which a vertex sends a state to its neighbors, (2) the rate at which a state is received by a neighbor, and (3) the rate at which a state can be exchanged through a connecting edge. We investigate how these three limitations influence neutral competition in networks with two communities generated by a stochastic block model. By using Monte Carlo simulations, we show how the community structure and update rule determine the states' success probabilities and the time until a consensus is reached. We present a heterogeneous mean-field theory that agrees well with the Monte Carlo simulations. The effectiveness of the heterogeneous mean-field theory implies that quantitative predictions about the consensus are possible even if empirical data (e.g., from ecological fieldwork or observations of social interactions) do not allow a complete reconstruction of all edges in the network.}, year = {2021}, eissn = {2470-0053}, orcid-numbers = {Oborny, Beáta/0000-0003-2997-9921} } @article{MTMT:31229637, title = {Percolation theory suggests some general features in range margins across environmental gradients}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/31229637}, author = {Juhász, Róbert and Oborny, Beáta}, doi = {10.1016/j.ecocom.2020.100814}, journal-iso = {ECOL COMPLEX}, journal = {ECOLOGICAL COMPLEXITY}, volume = {42}, unique-id = {31229637}, issn = {1476-945X}, year = {2020}, eissn = {1476-9840}, orcid-numbers = {Oborny, Beáta/0000-0003-2997-9921} } @article{MTMT:30769572, title = {Five main phases of landscape degradation revealed by a dynamic mesoscale model analysing the splitting, shrinking, and disappearing of habitat patches}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/30769572}, author = {Kun, Ádám and Oborny, Beáta and Dieckmann, Ulf}, doi = {10.1038/s41598-019-47497-7}, journal-iso = {SCI REP}, journal = {SCIENTIFIC REPORTS}, volume = {9}, unique-id = {30769572}, issn = {2045-2322}, abstract = {The ecological consequences of habitat loss and fragmentation have been intensively studied on a broad, landscape-wide scale, but have less been investigated on the finer scale of individual habitat patches, especially when considering dynamic turnovers in the habitability of sites. We study changes to individual patches from the perspective of the inhabitant organisms requiring a minimum area for survival. With patches given by contiguous assemblages of discrete habitat sites, the removal of a single site necessarily causes one of the following three elementary local events in the affected patch: splitting into two or more pieces, shrinkage without splitting, or complete disappearance. We investigate the probabilities of these events and the effective size of the habitat removed by them from the population's living area as the habitat landscape gradually transitions from pristine to totally destroyed. On this basis, we report the following findings. First, we distinguish four transitions delimiting five main phases of landscape degradation: (1) when there is only a little habitat loss, the most frequent event is the shrinkage of the spanning patch; (2) with more habitat loss, splitting becomes significant; (3) splitting peaks; (4) the remaining patches shrink; and (5) finally, they gradually disappear. Second, organisms that require large patches are especially sensitive to phase 3. This phase emerges at a value of habitat loss that is well above the percolation threshold. Third, the effective habitat loss caused by the removal of a single habitat site can be several times higher than the actual habitat loss. For organisms requiring only small patches, this amplification of losses is highest during phase 4 of the landscape degradation, whereas for organisms requiring large patches, it peaks during phase 3.}, year = {2019}, eissn = {2045-2322}, orcid-numbers = {Kun, Ádám/0000-0002-8409-8521; Oborny, Beáta/0000-0003-2997-9921} } @article{MTMT:30731080, title = {The impact of hypocrisy on opinion formation: A dynamic model}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/30731080}, author = {Gastner, Michael T. and Takács, Károly and Gulyás, Máté and Szvetelszky, Zsuzsanna and Oborny, Beáta}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0218729}, journal-iso = {PLOS ONE}, journal = {PLOS ONE}, volume = {14}, unique-id = {30731080}, issn = {1932-6203}, year = {2019}, eissn = {1932-6203}, orcid-numbers = {Takács, Károly/0000-0001-9126-3233; Oborny, Beáta/0000-0003-2997-9921} } @article{MTMT:30671210, title = {The plant body as a network of semi-autonomous agents: a review}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/30671210}, author = {Oborny, Beáta}, doi = {10.1098/rstb.2018.0371}, journal-iso = {PHILOS T ROY SOC B}, journal = {PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B - BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES}, volume = {374}, unique-id = {30671210}, issn = {0962-8436}, year = {2019}, eissn = {1471-2970}, orcid-numbers = {Oborny, Beáta/0000-0003-2997-9921} } @CONFERENCE{MTMT:30672889, title = {A voter model with concealed and publicly expressed opinions}, url = {https://m2.mtmt.hu/api/publication/30672889}, author = {Gastner, M. and Oborny, Beáta and Gulyás, M.}, booktitle = {Abstracts of the 2018 Conference on Complex Systems}, unique-id = {30672889}, year = {2018}, orcid-numbers = {Oborny, Beáta/0000-0003-2997-9921} }