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      <abstractText>A 2022-ben kezdődő orosz–ukrán fegyveres konfliktus szinte az összes gazdasági ágazatra jelentős hatást gyakorolt, nem kivétel ez alól a mezőgazdasági szektor sem. Az inputanyag-, üzemanyag- és terményárak jelentős hullámzáson mentek keresztül 2022 februárja és 2023 júniusa között, ami gazdasági kihívás elé állította a szektor termelőit mind az állattenyésztés, mind a növénytermesztés területén. A 2023-as őszi búza betakarítása a cikk írásának időpontjában már megkezdődött Magyarországon, azonban a termény értékesítésének kilátásai és jövedelmezőségi viszonyai még mindig nem mutatnak határozott irányt a gabonatermesztők számára. Egyre fokozódó problémát jelent az éghajlat szélsőségesebbé válása is, amit jól tükröz a 2022. évi aszály és a 2023. évi országos sárgarozsdajárvány is. Kutatásunkban arra kívánunk rámutatni, hogy mennyire bizonytalanok a 2023-as őszibúza-termesztés jövedelmezőségi kilátásai, és milyen módon lehetséges csökkenteni az esetleges veszteségeket egy ilyen kihívásokkal teli, bizonytalan időszakban. Ennek érdekében költség-haszon elemzést készítettünk a 2023-as betakarítású őszi búzára vonatkozóan, meghatároztuk annak önköltségét, fedezeti mutatóit és jövedelmezőségi viszonyait. | The Russian-Ukrainian armed conflict that began in 2022 had a significant impact on almost all economic sectors, the agricultural sector being no exception. Agricultural input material, fuel and crop prices experienced significant fluctuations between February 2022 and June 2023. which presented a challenge to the producers of the sector. The autumn wheat harvest of 2023 has already begun at the time of writing this article, however, the prospects and profitability of the crop's sales still do not show a definite direction for farmers. The climate becoming more and more extreme is also an increasing problem, which is well reflected by the drought of 2022 and the national yellow rust epidemic of 2023. In our research, we want to point out how uncertain the profitability prospects of winter wheat cultivation in 2023 are and how it is possible to reduce possible losses in such a challenging and uncertain period. To this end, we prepared a cost-benefit analysis for the 2023 winter wheat, and determined its cost, coverage indicators and profitability conditions.</abstractText>
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