https://m2.mtmt.hu/ hun 2026-09-22 00:50 JournalArticle 36186936 VALIDATED true 0 false 2026-05-24T21:38:10.712+0000 2026-05-21T13:37:18.390+0000 2025-06-11T12:12:21.516+0000 true 10065427 Stefkovics Ádám /api/author/10065427 Author Stefkovics Ádám (szociológia) true 2026-05-21T13:37:18.588+0000 2026-05-21T13:37:18.588+0000 2026-01-01T14:02:26.035+0000 true 521 Szuper Admin /api/admin/521 Admin Szuper Admin (admin) true Admin 10101397 /api/admin/10101397 Tokai Tamás (Központi 2-3, admin) Tokai Tamás true true 2026-05-21T13:41:15.653+0000 true false true 24 24 /api/publicationtype/24 PublicationType Folyóiratcikk 1 true 24 JournalArticle true 10000059 Article true 24 24 /api/publicationtype/24 PublicationType Folyóiratcikk 1 true 24 JournalArticle /api/subtype/10000059 Szakcikk SubType Szakcikk (Folyóiratcikk) 101 true 10000059 true 1 /api/category/1 Category Tudományos true 1 Stefkovics, Ádám true true /api/journal/10001040 REVIEWED INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PUBLIC OPINION RESEARCH 0954-2892 1471-6909 true false 10001040 false 10001040 true 0954-2892 1471-6909 Journal FOREIGN 37 2 edaf018 edaf018 2025 Opinion polls about voting intentions provide important information for citizens in shaping their own political attitudes. Nevertheless, opinion polls are only useful for democracies if people trust their results. This study aims to decompose trust in poll results by focusing on two factors that may shape trust level: the source polling institution and the results of the poll. In survey experiments embedded in an online and a phone survey in Hungary, respondents were presented with two hypothetical poll reports and were asked to assess how much they trusted them. We varied the source institution (6 levels) and whether the results were realistic or not realistic. The results show that despite the highly politicized research environment in Hungary, the research institution did not play a role in general or among people with different political views. In turn, accuracy was a strong positive predictor of trust in the phone survey, but we found traces of motivated reasoning, partially depending on political sophistication. We conclude that trust processes are complex, with source credibility not always determining trust, but individual political motivations consistently shaping perceptions. true true 2025 true true true false false GREEN 2026-05-24 true https://doi.org/10.1093/ijpor/edaf018 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 Folyóiratcikk Journal Article 24 0 Könyvrészlet Chapter in Book 25 0 Könyv Book 23 1 Egyéb konferenciaközlemény Conference paper 31 0 Egyéb konferenciakötet Conference proceedings 32 0 Oltalmi formák Protection forms 26 0 Disszertáció Thesis 28 0 Egyéb Miscellaneous 29 0 Alkotás Achievement 22 0 Kutatási adat Research data 33 0 Folyóiratcikk Journal Article 24 0 0 0 Könyvrészlet Chapter in Book 25 0 0 0 Könyv Book 23 0 0 0 Egyéb konferenciaközlemény Conference paper 31 0 0 0 Egyéb konferenciakötet Conference proceedings 32 0 0 0 Oltalmi formák Protection forms 26 0 0 0 Disszertáció Thesis 28 0 0 0 Egyéb Miscellaneous 29 0 0 0 Alkotás Achievement 22 0 0 0 Kutatási adat Research data 33 0 0 0 2025 0 1 1 1 1 Q1 A nemzetközi false false false false 2025-09-09T12:12:22.087+0000 Lendület Recens Kutatócsoport (HUN-REN TK); Századvég Csoport 2 13 2 2 0 true 10101397 Language 10002 /api/language/10002 Angol Angol English true 2 true PersonAuthorship 126875147 /api/authorship/126875147 Stefkovics, Ádám [Stefkovics, Ádám (szociológia), szerző] Lendület Recens Kutatócsoport (HUN-REN TK); Századvég Csoport 1 0.5 true false false Author 10065427 /api/author/10065427 Stefkovics Ádám (szociológia) Stefkovics Ádám true true Stefkovics Ádám true false false AuthorshipType 1 /api/authorshiptype/1 Szerző 0 true 0 true false true PersonAuthorship 126875148 /api/authorship/126875148 Gere, Dömötör [Gere, Dömötör (Politikai elemző), szerző] Századvég Csoport 2 0.5 false true false Author 10089342 /api/author/10089342 Gere Dömötör (Politikai elemző) Gere Dömötör true true Gere Dömötör true false false AuthorshipType 1 /api/authorshiptype/1 Szerző 0 true 0 true false true PublicationIdentifier 29473940 /api/publicationidentifier/29473940 DOI: 10.1093/ijpor/edaf018 PlainSource 6 /api/publicationsource/6 DOI PublicationSourceType 10001 /api/publicationsourcetype/10001 DOI true true true DOI DOI https://doi.org/@@@ true true 6 true GREEN true IDENTICAL 10.1093/ijpor/edaf018 https://doi.org/10.1093/ijpor/edaf018 false true PublicationIdentifier 31021580 /api/publicationidentifier/31021580 WoS: 001504139000001 PlainSource 1 /api/publicationsource/1 WoS PublicationSourceType 10003 /api/publicationsourcetype/10003 Indexelő adatbázis false true true WoS WoS https://www.webofscience.com/wos/woscc/full-record/@@@ true true 1 true IDENTICAL 001504139000001 https://www.webofscience.com/wos/woscc/full-record/001504139000001 false true PublicationIdentifier 29473941 /api/publicationidentifier/29473941 Egyéb URL: https://academic.oup.com/ijpor/article/doi/10.1093/ijpor/edaf018/8158692 PlainSource 40 /api/publicationsource/40 Egyéb URL PublicationSourceType 10006 /api/publicationsourcetype/10006 Link true true true Egyéb URL Other URL @@@ true true 40 true https://academic.oup.com/ijpor/article/doi/10.1093/ijpor/edaf018/8158692 https://academic.oup.com/ijpor/article/doi/10.1093/ijpor/edaf018/8158692 false true MtaRating 518125 /api/mtarating/518125 IX. Politikatudományi Bizottság:A nemzetközi INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PUBLIC OPINION RESEARCH 0954-2892 1471-6909 RatingType 10015 /api/ratingtype/10015 IX. Politikatudományi Bizottság PTB Institute 14099 /api/institute/14099 Politikatudományi Bizottság IXGJO PTB [1901-] 0 false true false Politikatudományi Bizottság Committee on Political Science true 14099 true true true A nemzetközi true 18125 true MtaRating 518994 /api/mtarating/518994 IX. Szociológiai Tudományos Bizottság:A nemzetközi INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PUBLIC OPINION RESEARCH 0954-2892 1471-6909 RatingType 10007 /api/ratingtype/10007 IX. Szociológiai Tudományos Bizottság SZTB Institute 14102 /api/institute/14102 Szociológiai Tudományos Bizottság IXGJO SZTB [1901-] 0 false true false Szociológiai Tudományos Bizottság Committee on Sociology true 14102 true true true A nemzetközi true 18994 true MtaRating 11509817 /api/mtarating/11509817 IX. Gazdaságtudományi Doktori Minősítő Bizottság:B nemzetközi INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PUBLIC OPINION RESEARCH 0954-2892 1471-6909 RatingType 10012 /api/ratingtype/10012 IX. Gazdaságtudományi Doktori Minősítő Bizottság GMB Institute 19066 /api/institute/19066 Gazdaságtudományi Doktori Minősítő Bizottság IXGJO GMB [1901-] 0 false true false Gazdaságtudományi Doktori Minősítő Bizottság Committee on Economics true 19066 true true true B nemzetközi false true MtaRating 509848 /api/mtarating/509848 IX. Nemzetközi és Fejlődéstanulmányok Doktori Bizottság:B nemzetközi INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PUBLIC OPINION RESEARCH 0954-2892 1471-6909 RatingType 10013 /api/ratingtype/10013 IX. Nemzetközi és Fejlődéstanulmányok Doktori Bizottság NFDB Institute 19067 /api/institute/19067 Nemzetközi és Fejlődéstanulmányok Doktori Bizottság IXGJO NFDB [1901-] 0 false true false Nemzetközi és Fejlődéstanulmányok Doktori Bizottság Committee on World Economics and Development Studies true 19067 true true true B nemzetközi true 9848 true SjrRating 11622714 /api/sjrrating/11622714 sjr:Q1 (2025) Scopus - Sociology and Political Science INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PUBLIC OPINION RESEARCH 0954-2892 1471-6909 294 0.24 journal RatingType 10002 /api/ratingtype/10002 sjr sjr true true ClassificationExternal 3312 /api/classificationexternal/3312 Scopus - Sociology and Political Science true 3312 true Q1 DIRECT true true Reference 66294574 /api/reference/66294574 1. Bates 2015: Fitting Linear Mixed-Effects Models Using lme4., Journal of Statistical Software, 67, p. 1, DOI: 10.18637/jss.v067.i01 1 10.18637/jss.v067.i01 false true Reference 66294575 /api/reference/66294575 2. 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(2025) INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PUBLIC OPINION RESEARCH 0954-2892 1471-6909 37 2<div class="JournalArticle Publication long-list"> <div class="authors"> <img title="Forrásközlemény" style="float: left" src="/frontend/resources/grid/publication-core-icon.png"> <img title="Idézőközlemény" style="float: left" src="/frontend/resources/grid/publication-citation-icon.png"> <div class="autype autype0"> <span class="author-name" mtid="10065427"><a href="/gui2/?type=authors&mode=browse&sel=10065427" target="_blank">Stefkovics Ádám (<span class="authorship-author-name">Stefkovics Ádám</span> <span class="authorAux-mtmt"> szociológia</span>) </a> </span> <span class="author-affil"><span title="HUN-REN Társadalomtudományi Kutatóközpont">HUN-REN TK</span>/Lendület Recens Kutatócsoport; Századvég Csoport</span> ;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <span class="author-name" mtid="10089342"><a href="/gui2/?type=authors&mode=browse&sel=10089342" target="_blank">Gere Dömötör (<span class="authorship-author-name">Gere Dömötör</span> <span class="authorAux-mtmt"> Politikai elemző</span>) </a> </span> <span class="author-affil">Századvég Csoport</span> </div> </div> <div class="title"><a href="/gui2/?mode=browse&params=publication;36186936" target="_blank">Trust in Election Polls. The Role of the Source Institution and the Results of the Poll</a></div> <div> <span class="journal-title">INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PUBLIC OPINION RESEARCH</span> <span class="journal-issn">(<a target="_blank" href="https://portal.issn.org/resource/ISSN/0954-2892">0954-2892</a> <a target="_blank" href="https://portal.issn.org/resource/ISSN/1471-6909">1471-6909</a>)</span>: <span class="journal-volume">37</span> <span class="journal-issue">2</span> <span class="page"> Paper edaf018. </span> <span class="year">(2025)</span> </div> <div class="pub-footer"> <span class="language" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/html">Nyelv: Angol | </span> <span class="identifiers"> <span class="id identifier oa_GREEN" title=" Green "> <a style="color:blue" title="10.1093/ijpor/edaf018" target="_blank" href="https://doi.org/10.1093/ijpor/edaf018"> DOI </a> </span> <span class="id identifier oa_none" title="none"> <a style="color:blue" title="001504139000001" target="_blank" href="https://www.webofscience.com/wos/woscc/full-record/001504139000001"> WoS </a> </span> <span class="id identifier oa_none" title="none"> <a style="color:black" title="https://academic.oup.com/ijpor/article/doi/10.1093/ijpor/edaf018/8158692" target="_blank" href="https://academic.oup.com/ijpor/article/doi/10.1093/ijpor/edaf018/8158692"> Egyéb URL </a> </span> </span> <OnlyViewableByAuthor><div class="ratings"> <div class="journal-subject">Folyóirat szakterülete: Scopus - Sociology and Political Science&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;SJR indikátor:&nbsp;Q1</div> <div class="journal-subject">Politikatudományi Bizottság IXGJO PTB [1901-]&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;A nemzetközi</div> <div class="journal-subject">Szociológiai Tudományos Bizottság IXGJO SZTB [1901-]&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;A nemzetközi</div> <div class="journal-subject">Gazdaságtudományi Doktori Minősítő Bizottság IXGJO GMB [1901-]&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;B nemzetközi</div> <div class="journal-subject">Nemzetközi és Fejlődéstanulmányok Doktori Bizottság IXGJO NFDB [1901-]&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;B nemzetközi</div> </div></OnlyViewableByAuthor> <div class="publication-citation" style="margin-left: 0.5cm;"> <span title="Nyilvános idézőközlemények összesen, említések nélkül" class="citingPub-count">Nyilvános idéző összesen: 1</span> | Független: 1 | Függő: 0 | Nem jelölt: 0 </div> <div class="publication-citation"> <a target="_blank" href="/api/publication?cond=citations.related;eq;36186936&sort=publishedYear,desc&sort=title"> Idézett közlemények száma: 1 </a> </div> <div class="mtid"><span class="long-pub-mtid">Közlemény: 36186936</span> | <span class="status-data status-VALIDATED"> Egyeztetett </span> Forrás Idéző | <span class="type-subtype">Folyóiratcikk ( Szakcikk ) </span> | <span class="pub-category">Tudományos</span> | <span class="publication-sourceOfData">kézi felvitel</span> </div> <div class="lastModified">Utolsó módosítás: 2026.05.21. 15:37 Tokai Tamás (Központi 2-3, admin) </div> <div class="lockedBy">Központi kezelésű 2026.05.21. 15:41 Tokai Tamás (Központi 2-3, admin) </div> </div></div>