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      <abstractText>Tanulmányunkban az Európai Unió Tanácsának minősített többségi szavazási rendszerében megfigyelhető a priori hatalmi befolyást vizsgáljuk a demográfiai változások összefüggésében. Kutatási kérdésünk, hogy az előre jelzett népességadatok alapján változik-e az egyes országok közötti hatalmi erőviszonyok megoszlása az Európai Unió Tanácsában, ha a tagországok és a szervezet döntéshozó mechanizmusai változatlanok maradnak, illetve ha a döntéshozást meghatározó kvóta Costa és szerzőtársai [2023] javaslata szerint módosul. Az a priori szavazati erő mérésére a Banzhaf- és a Shapley–Shubik-indexet használtuk. Megállapítható, hogy a demográfiai trendek okozta befolyásváltozás a déli és keleti országoktól, főleg az Unió balkáni országaiból és Lengyelországból szívja el a befolyást az északi és nyugati, legmarkánsabban a skandináv országok javára. Costa és szerzőtársai [2023] javaslata a Shapley–Shubik-index alapján a legnagyobb öt, a Banzhaf-index alapján a legnagyobb hét tagállam a priori szavazati erejét csorbítaná.
Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) kód: C71, D72.</abstractText>
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      <label>Hatvani Ákos et al. A priori szavazási erő az Európai Unió Tanácsában. A demográfiai változások hatása a Tanács döntéshozatalára. (2025) KÖZGAZDASÁGI SZEMLE 0023-4346 1588-113X 72 2 158-177</label><template>&lt;div class=&quot;JournalArticle Publication short-list&quot;&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;authors&quot;&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;author-name&quot; &gt; Hatvani, Ákos &lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;author-type&quot;&gt; &lt;/span&gt; ; &lt;span class=&quot;author-name&quot; mtid=&quot;10058526&quot;&gt; &lt;a href=&quot;/gui2/?type=authors&amp;mode=browse&amp;sel=10058526&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;Petróczy, Dóra Gréta&lt;/a&gt; &lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;author-type&quot;&gt; &lt;/span&gt; &lt;/div &gt;&lt;div class=&quot;title&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;/gui2/?mode=browse&amp;params=publication;35747299&quot; mtid=&quot;35747299&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;A priori szavazási erő az Európai Unió Tanácsában. A demográfiai változások hatása a Tanács döntéshozatalára&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;pub-info&quot;&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;journal-title&quot;&gt;KÖZGAZDASÁGI SZEMLE&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;journal-volume&quot;&gt;72&lt;/span&gt; : &lt;span class=&quot;journal-issue&quot;&gt;2&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;page&quot;&gt; pp. 158-177. , 20 p. &lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;year&quot;&gt;(2025)&lt;/span&gt; &lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;pub-end&quot;&gt;&lt;div class=&quot;identifier-list&quot;&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;identifiers&quot;&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;id identifier oa_none&quot; title=&quot;none&quot;&gt; &lt;a style=&quot;color:blue&quot; title=&quot;10.18414/KSZ.2025.2.158&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot; href=&quot;https://doi.org/10.18414/KSZ.2025.2.158&quot;&gt; DOI &lt;/a&gt; &lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;id identifier oa_GREEN&quot; title=&quot; Green &quot;&gt; &lt;a style=&quot;color:blue&quot; title=&quot;215369&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot; href=&quot;http://real.mtak.hu/215369&quot;&gt; REAL &lt;/a&gt; &lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;id identifier oa_none&quot; title=&quot;none&quot;&gt; &lt;a style=&quot;color:black&quot; title=&quot;http://www.kszemle.hu/tartalom/cikk.php?id=2233&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot; href=&quot;http://www.kszemle.hu/tartalom/cikk.php?id=2233&quot;&gt; Egyéb URL &lt;/a&gt; &lt;/span&gt; &lt;/span&gt; &lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;short-pub-prop-list&quot;&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;short-pub-mtid&quot;&gt; Közlemény:35747299 &lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;status-holder&quot;&gt;&lt;span class=&quot;status-data status-ADMIN_APPROVED&quot;&gt; Admin láttamozott &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;pub-core&quot;&gt;Forrás Idéző &lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;pub-type&quot;&gt;Folyóiratcikk (Szakcikk ) &lt;/span&gt; &lt;!-- &amp;&amp; !record.category.scientific --&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;pub-category&quot;&gt;Tudományos&lt;/span&gt; &lt;/div&gt; &lt;/div&gt; &lt;/div&gt;</template><template2>&lt;div class=&quot;JournalArticle Publication long-list&quot;&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;authors&quot;&gt; &lt;img title=&quot;Forrásközlemény&quot; style=&quot;float: left&quot; src=&quot;/frontend/resources/grid/publication-core-icon.png&quot;&gt; &lt;img title=&quot;Idézőközlemény&quot; style=&quot;float: left&quot; src=&quot;/frontend/resources/grid/publication-citation-icon.png&quot;&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;autype autype0&quot;&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;author-name&quot; &gt;Hatvani Ákos &lt;/span&gt; ;&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp; &lt;span class=&quot;author-name&quot; mtid=&quot;10058526&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;/gui2/?type=authors&amp;mode=browse&amp;sel=10058526&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;Petróczy Dóra Gréta (&lt;span class=&quot;authorship-author-name&quot;&gt;Petróczy Dóra Gréta&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;authorAux-mtmt&quot;&gt; Közgazdaságtan&lt;/span&gt;) &lt;/a&gt; &lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;author-affil&quot;&gt;&lt;span title=&quot;Budapesti Metropolitan Egyetem&quot;&gt;METU&lt;/span&gt;/Magyar Nemzeti Bank Intézet&lt;/span&gt; &lt;/div&gt; &lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;title&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;/gui2/?mode=browse&amp;params=publication;35747299&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;A priori szavazási erő az Európai Unió Tanácsában. A demográfiai változások hatása a Tanács döntéshozatalára&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;journal-title&quot;&gt;KÖZGAZDASÁGI SZEMLE&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;journal-issn&quot;&gt;(&lt;a target=&quot;_blank&quot; href=&quot;https://portal.issn.org/resource/ISSN/0023-4346&quot;&gt;0023-4346&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a target=&quot;_blank&quot; href=&quot;https://portal.issn.org/resource/ISSN/1588-113X&quot;&gt;1588-113X&lt;/a&gt;)&lt;/span&gt;: &lt;span class=&quot;journal-volume&quot;&gt;72&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;journal-issue&quot;&gt;2&lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;page&quot;&gt; pp 158-177 &lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;year&quot;&gt;(2025)&lt;/span&gt; &lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;pub-footer&quot;&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;language&quot; xmlns=&quot;http://www.w3.org/1999/html&quot;&gt;Nyelv: Magyar | &lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;identifiers&quot;&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;id identifier oa_none&quot; title=&quot;none&quot;&gt; &lt;a style=&quot;color:blue&quot; title=&quot;10.18414/KSZ.2025.2.158&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot; href=&quot;https://doi.org/10.18414/KSZ.2025.2.158&quot;&gt; DOI &lt;/a&gt; &lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;id identifier oa_GREEN&quot; title=&quot; Green &quot;&gt; &lt;a style=&quot;color:blue&quot; title=&quot;215369&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot; href=&quot;http://real.mtak.hu/215369&quot;&gt; REAL &lt;/a&gt; &lt;/span&gt; &lt;span class=&quot;id identifier oa_none&quot; title=&quot;none&quot;&gt; &lt;a style=&quot;color:black&quot; title=&quot;http://www.kszemle.hu/tartalom/cikk.php?id=2233&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot; href=&quot;http://www.kszemle.hu/tartalom/cikk.php?id=2233&quot;&gt; Egyéb URL &lt;/a&gt; &lt;/span&gt; &lt;/span&gt; &lt;OnlyViewableByAuthor&gt;&lt;div class=&quot;ratings&quot;&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;journal-subject&quot;&gt;IV. Agrártudományok Osztálya IVAO&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;A&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;journal-subject&quot;&gt;X. Földtudományok Osztálya XFO&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;A&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;journal-subject&quot;&gt;Demográfiai Osztályközi Állandó Bizottság IXGJO DEM [1901-]&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;A hazai&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;journal-subject&quot;&gt;Gazdaságtudományi Doktori Minősítő Bizottság IXGJO GMB [1901-]&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;A hazai&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;journal-subject&quot;&gt;Nemzetközi és Fejlődéstanulmányok Doktori Bizottság IXGJO NFDB [1901-]&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;A hazai&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;journal-subject&quot;&gt;Politikatudományi Bizottság IXGJO PTB [1901-]&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;A hazai&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;journal-subject&quot;&gt;Regionális Tudományok Bizottsága IXGJO RTB [1901-]&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;A hazai&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;journal-subject&quot;&gt;Szociológiai Tudományos Bizottság IXGJO SZTB [1901-]&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;B hazai&lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;journal-subject&quot;&gt;Állam- és Jogtudományi Bizottság IXGJO ÁJB [1901-]&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;C hazai&lt;/div&gt; &lt;/div&gt;&lt;/OnlyViewableByAuthor&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;publication-citation&quot;&gt; &lt;a target=&quot;_blank&quot; href=&quot;/api/publication?cond=citations.related;eq;35747299&amp;sort=publishedYear,desc&amp;sort=title&quot;&gt; Idézett közlemények száma: 5 &lt;/a&gt; &lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;mtid&quot;&gt;&lt;span class=&quot;long-pub-mtid&quot;&gt;Közlemény: 35747299&lt;/span&gt; | &lt;span class=&quot;status-data status-ADMIN_APPROVED&quot;&gt; Admin láttamozott &lt;/span&gt; Forrás Idéző | &lt;span class=&quot;type-subtype&quot;&gt;Folyóiratcikk ( Szakcikk ) &lt;/span&gt; | &lt;span class=&quot;pub-category&quot;&gt;Tudományos&lt;/span&gt; | &lt;span class=&quot;publication-sourceOfData&quot;&gt;kézi felvitel&lt;/span&gt; &lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;special-affiliations&quot;&gt; Speciális affiliáció: Közgazdasági Szemle szerkesztősége &lt;/div&gt; &lt;div class=&quot;lastModified&quot;&gt;Utolsó módosítás: 2026.04.17. 13:28 Juhász-Barják Anna Katalin (Könyvtáros, admin) &lt;/div&gt; &lt;/div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</template2>
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