An algorithm to analyse long‐term tendencies of pressure systems over Europe

Varga‐Balogh, Adrienn [Varga-Balogh, Adrienn (Meteorológia), szerző] Meteorológiai Tanszék (ELTE / TTK / Ft_K); Leelőssy, Ádám [Leelőssy, Ádám (meteorológia), szerző] Meteorológiai Tanszék (ELTE / TTK / Ft_K); Varga, László; Mészáros, Róbert ✉ [Mészáros, Róbert (Meteorológia), szerző] Meteorológiai Tanszék (ELTE / TTK / Ft_K)

Angol nyelvű Szakcikk (Folyóiratcikk) Tudományos
Megjelent: INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 0899-8418 1097-0088 44 (11) pp. 4032-4045 2024
  • X. Földtudományok Osztálya: A
  • SJR Scopus - Atmospheric Science: Q1
Támogatások:
  • ÉMNL(RRF-2.3.1-21-2022-00014) Támogató: NKFIH
Climate change is associated with the modification of the polar jet stream, cyclone tracks and corresponding circulation patterns over midlatitudes. To apply these synoptic changes on regional climate, the changing sensitivity of a specific location to different pressure centre regions must be studied. An automated, objective circulation pattern detection method was developed to investigate the evolution of cyclonic and anticyclonic influence at any specific point within the European domain. The algorithm was used to assign each location to influencing low‐ or high‐pressure centres within the domain. Pressure centre displacements and the frequency redistribution among different centres were studied for each location. The 180‐year (January 1836–December 2015) mean sea level pressure dataset on the European domain with a 0.703° × 0.702° spatial and daily temporal resolution was obtained from NOAA 20th Century Reanalysis project. The presented method can apply the continental‐scale changes to specific locations. A significant increase of anticyclonic influence was found in southern and central Europe, in line with the northward displacement of Atlantic cyclones. Hundred and eighty year (180‐year) change of the number of days with anticyclonic versus cyclonic influence was found to be between +10% and 15% in the Mediterranean and +2% and 10% in most of Europe. The increasing anticyclonic influence in central Europe was strongest in the spring and the winter and was most attributable to the eastern European anticyclone. Results highlight the importance of research on the dynamical climate response of anticyclonic pressure systems.
Hivatkozás stílusok: IEEEACMAPAChicagoHarvardCSLMásolásNyomtatás
2026-01-13 07:50