https://m2.mtmt.hu/ hun 2026-09-22 01:52 JournalArticle 34165696 VALIDATED true [Meta-analysis] 0 false 2026-09-15T19:40:22.953+0000 2026-01-30T11:41:20.865+0000 2023-09-29T18:54:22.196+0000 true 10081959 Szalóky-Siki Ágnes /api/admin/10081959 Admin true 2026-09-07T09:03:42.764+0000 2026-01-30T11:41:21.079+0000 true 10097129 Vékony-Pap Lili /api/admin/10097129 Admin true true false true 24 24 /api/publicationtype/24 PublicationType 1 true 24 JournalArticle true 10000059 Article true 24 24 /api/publicationtype/24 PublicationType 1 true 24 JournalArticle /api/subtype/10000059 Szakcikk SubType 101 true 10000059 true 1 /api/category/1 Category true 1 Capurso, Gabriele Clinical usefulness of scoring systems to predict severe acute pancreatitis: A systematic review and meta-analysis with pre and post-test probability assessment true true /api/journal/10029272 REVIEWED true false 10029272 false 10029272 true 2050-6406 2050-6414 Journal FOREIGN 11 9 825 836 825 12 2023 Scoring systems for severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) prediction should be used in conjunction with pre-test probability to establish post-test probability of SAP, but data of this kind are lacking.To investigate the predictive value of commonly employed scoring systems and their usefulness in modifying the pre-test probability of SAP.Following PRISMA statement and MOOSE checklists after PROSPERO registration, PubMed was searched from inception until September 2022. Retrospective, prospective, cross-sectional studies or clinical trials on patients with acute pancreatitis defined as Revised Atlanta Criteria, reporting rate of SAP and using at least one score among Bedside Index for Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP), Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Examination (APACHE)-II, RANSON, and Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome (SIRS) with their sensitivity and specificity were included. Random effects model meta-analyses were performed. Pre-test probability and likelihood ratio (LR) were combined to estimate post-test probability on Fagan nomograms. Pooled severity rate was used as pre-test probability of SAP and pooled sensitivity and specificity to calculate LR and generate post-test probability. A priori hypotheses for heterogeneity were developed and sensitivity analyses planned.43 studies yielding 14,116 acute pancreatitis patients were included: 42 with BISAP, 30 with APACHE-II, 27 with Ranson, 8 with SIRS. Pooled pre-test probability of SAP ranged 16.6%-25.3%. The post-test probability of SAP with positive/negative score was 47%/6% for BISAP, 43%/5% for APACHE-II, 48%/5% for Ranson, 40%/12% for SIRS. In 18 studies comparing BISAP, APACHE-II, and Ranson in 6740 patients with pooled pre-test probability of SAP of 18.7%, post-test probability when scores were positive was 48% for BISAP, 46% for APACHE-II, 50% for Ranson. When scores were negative, post-test probability dropped to 7% for BISAP, 6% for Ranson, 5% for APACHE-II. Quality, design, and country of origin of the studies did not explain the observed high heterogeneity.The most commonly used scoring systems to predict SAP perform poorly and do not aid in decision-making. true 2023 true true true false true false GOLD 2026-09-15 true https://doi.org/10.1002/ueg2.12464 79 0 79 68 0 79 78 72 68 79 79 68 68 68 11 0 79 68 79 68 0 5 5 Folyóiratcikk Journal Article 24 78 Könyvrészlet Chapter in Book 25 1 Könyv Book 23 0 Egyéb konferenciaközlemény Conference paper 31 0 Egyéb konferenciakötet Conference proceedings 32 0 Oltalmi formák Protection forms 26 0 Disszertáció Thesis 28 0 Egyéb Miscellaneous 29 0 Alkotás Achievement 22 0 Kutatási adat Research data 33 0 Folyóiratcikk Journal Article 24 0 0 0 Könyvrészlet Chapter in Book 25 0 0 0 Könyv Book 23 0 0 0 Egyéb konferenciaközlemény Conference paper 31 0 0 0 Egyéb konferenciakötet Conference proceedings 32 0 0 0 Oltalmi formák Protection forms 26 0 0 0 Disszertáció Thesis 28 0 0 0 Egyéb Miscellaneous 29 0 0 0 Alkotás Achievement 22 0 0 0 Kutatási adat Research data 33 0 0 0 2024 0 12 9 12 9 2025 0 38 33 38 33 2026 0 29 26 29 26 D1 false false false false 2023-11-22T13:48:47.046+0000 Interdiszciplináris Kutatásfejlesztési és Innov... (SZTE); Pankreász Betegségek Intézete (SE / AOK / K); Transzlációs Medicina Központ (SE / KSZE) 1 27 3 10 0 true Language 10002 /api/language/10002 Angol English true 2 true PersonAuthorship 110087531 /api/authorship/110087531 1 0.1 true false true Capurso Gabriele true false false AuthorshipType 1 /api/authorshiptype/1 0 true 0 true false true PersonAuthorship 110087532 /api/authorship/110087532 2 0.1 false false false Ponz de Leon Pisani Ruggero true false false AuthorshipType 1 /api/authorshiptype/1 0 true 0 true false true PersonAuthorship 110087533 /api/authorship/110087533 3 0.1 false false false Lauri Gaetano true false false AuthorshipType 1 /api/authorshiptype/1 0 true 0 true false true PersonAuthorship 110087534 /api/authorship/110087534 4 0.1 false false false Archibugi Livia true false false AuthorshipType 1 /api/authorshiptype/1 0 true 0 true false true PersonAuthorship 110087535 /api/authorship/110087535 5 0.1 false false false Author 10002629 /api/author/10002629 Hegyi Péter true 10002629 true Hegyi Peter true false false AuthorshipType 1 /api/authorshiptype/1 0 true 0 true false true PersonAuthorship 110087536 /api/authorship/110087536 6 0.1 false false false Papachristou Georgios I true false false AuthorshipType 1 /api/authorshiptype/1 0 true 0 true false true PersonAuthorship 110087537 /api/authorship/110087537 7 0.1 false false false Pandanaboyana Sanjay true false false AuthorshipType 1 /api/authorshiptype/1 0 true 0 true false true PersonAuthorship 110087538 /api/authorship/110087538 8 0.1 false false false Maisonneuve Patrick true false false AuthorshipType 1 /api/authorshiptype/1 0 true 0 true false true PersonAuthorship 110087539 /api/authorship/110087539 9 0.1 false false false Arcidiacono Paolo Giorgio true false false AuthorshipType 1 /api/authorshiptype/1 0 true 0 true false true PersonAuthorship 110087540 /api/authorship/110087540 10 0.1 false true false de-Madaria Enrique true false false AuthorshipType 1 /api/authorshiptype/1 0 true 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14292 /api/keyword/14292 true 14292 true Keyword 1011239 /api/keyword/1011239 true 1011239 true Keyword 1036469 /api/keyword/1036469 true 1036469 true Keyword 1606549 /api/keyword/1606549 true true Keyword 1710828 /api/keyword/1710828 true true Keyword 2021142 /api/keyword/2021142 true true Keyword 2159873 /api/keyword/2159873 true true Keyword 3153205 /api/keyword/3153205 true true SjrRating 11380067 /api/sjrrating/11380067 15 0.1 journal RatingType 10002 /api/ratingtype/10002 sjr true true ClassificationExternal 2715 /api/classificationexternal/2715 true 2715 true D1 DIRECT true true /api/publication/34165696 <div class="JournalArticle Publication long-list"> <div class="authors"> <img title="Forrásközlemény" style="float: left" src="/frontend/resources/grid/publication-core-icon.png"> <img title="Idézőközlemény" style="float: left" src="/frontend/resources/grid/publication-citation-icon.png"> <div class="autype autype0"> <span class="author-name" >Capurso Gabriele ✉ </span> ;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <span class="author-name" >Ponz de Leon Pisani Ruggero </span> ;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <span class="author-name" >Lauri Gaetano </span> ;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <span class="author-name" >Archibugi Livia </span> ;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <span class="author-name" mtid="10002629"><a href="/gui2/?type=authors&mode=browse&sel=10002629" target="_blank">Hegyi Peter (<span class="authorship-author-name">Hegyi Péter</span> <span class="authorAux-mtmt"> Gasztroenterológia</span>) </a> </span> <span class="author-affil"><span title="Semmelweis Egyetem">SE</span>/<span title="Központi Szervezeti Egységek (beleértve az Egyéb Szervezeti Egységeket)">KSZE</span>/Transzlációs Medicina Központ; <span title="Semmelweis Egyetem">SE</span>/<span title="Általános Orvostudományi Kar">AOK</span>/<span title="Klinikum">K</span>/Pankreász Betegségek Intézete; <span title="Szegedi Tudományegyetem">SZTE</span>/Interdiszciplináris Kutatásfejlesztési és Innovációs Kiválósági Központ</span> ;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <span class="author-name" >Papachristou Georgios I </span> ;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <span class="author-name" >Pandanaboyana Sanjay </span> ;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <span class="author-name" >Maisonneuve Patrick </span> ;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <span class="author-name" >Arcidiacono Paolo Giorgio </span> ;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <span class="author-name" >de-Madaria Enrique </span> </div> </div> <div class="title"><a href="/gui2/?mode=browse&params=publication;34165696" target="_blank">Clinical usefulness of scoring systems to predict severe acute pancreatitis: A systematic review and meta-analysis with pre and post-test probability assessment</a></div> <div> <span class="journal-title">UNITED EUROPEAN GASTROENTEROLOGY JOURNAL</span> <span class="journal-issn">(<a target="_blank" href="https://portal.issn.org/resource/ISSN/2050-6406">2050-6406</a> <a target="_blank" href="https://portal.issn.org/resource/ISSN/2050-6414">2050-6414</a>)</span>: <span class="journal-volume">11</span> <span class="journal-issue">9</span> <span class="page"> pp 825-836 </span> <span class="year">(2023)</span> </div> <div class="pub-footer"> <span class="language" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/html">Nyelv: Angol | </span> <span class="identifiers"> <span class="id identifier oa_GOLD" title=" Gold "> <a style="color:blue" title="10.1002/ueg2.12464" target="_blank" href="https://doi.org/10.1002/ueg2.12464"> DOI </a> </span> <span class="id identifier oa_none" title="none"> <a style="color:blue" title="001071089400001" target="_blank" href="https://www.webofscience.com/wos/woscc/full-record/001071089400001"> WoS </a> </span> <span class="id identifier oa_none" title="none"> <a style="color:blue" title="85173095530" target="_blank" href="http://www.scopus.com/record/display.url?origin=inward&eid=2-s2.0-85173095530"> Scopus </a> </span> <span class="id identifier oa_none" title="none"> <a style="color:blue" title="37755341" target="_blank" href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=PubMed&list_uids=37755341&dopt=Abstract"> PubMed </a> </span> <span class="id identifier oa_GREEN" title=" Green "> <a style="color:blue" title="29139" target="_blank" href="http://publicatio.bibl.u-szeged.hu/29139"> SZTE Publicatio </a> </span> </span> <OnlyViewableByAuthor><div class="ratings"> <div class="journal-subject">Folyóirat szakterülete: Scopus - Gastroenterology&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;SJR indikátor:&nbsp;D1</div> <div class="journal-subject">Folyóirat szakterülete: Scopus - Oncology&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;SJR indikátor:&nbsp;Q1</div> </div></OnlyViewableByAuthor> <div class="publication-citation" style="margin-left: 0.5cm;"> <span title="Nyilvános idézőközlemények összesen, említések nélkül" class="citingPub-count">Nyilvános idéző összesen: 79</span> | Független: 68 | Függő: 11 | Nem jelölt: 0 | WoS jelölt: 72 | Scopus jelölt:&nbsp;68 | WoS/Scopus jelölt:&nbsp;79 | DOI jelölt:&nbsp;78 </div> <div class="publication-citation"> <a target="_blank" href="/api/publication?cond=citations.related;eq;34165696&sort=publishedYear,desc&sort=title"> Idézett közlemények száma: 5 </a> </div> <div class="mtid"><span class="long-pub-mtid">Közlemény: 34165696</span> | <span class="status-data status-VALIDATED"> Egyeztetett </span> Forrás Idéző | <span class="type-subtype">Folyóiratcikk ( Szakcikk ) </span> | <span class="pub-category">Tudományos</span> | <span class="publication-sourceOfData">kézi felvitel</span> </div> <div class="lastModified">Utolsó módosítás: 2026.01.30. 12:41 Vékony-Pap Lili (SZTE admin5) </div> <pre class="comment" style="margin-top: 0; margin-bottom: 0;"><u>Megjegyzés</u>: [Meta-analysis]</pre> </div></div>